Sport Picks

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Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs ASA

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca, Arapiraca
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Alex Bruno
8'
Sub
Fabio Aguiar In: Jan Pieter
Out: Fabio Aguiar
18' Event
Keliton

AI Match Summary

The Alagoano game between Cruzeiro Arapiraca and ASA finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ASA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
35%
Draws
40%
ASA
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ASA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • ASA carry the better recent record into this one.
  • ASA are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Clean Sheet 22%
ASA Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruzeiro Arapiraca ASA
Matches Played 29 40
Wins 10 21
Draws 7 14
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.14 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2026 Alagoano
Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs ASA
2:4
Mar 6, 2024 Copa Alagoas
Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs ASA
0:0
Jan 21, 2024 Alagoano
ASA vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca
2:1
Jul 9, 2023 Serie D
Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs ASA
0:2
May 20, 2023 Serie D
ASA vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cruzeiro Arapiraca Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Santana
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caique Valdivia
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

ASA Compare

Top Goalscorer Alex Bruno
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keliton
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruzeiro Arapiraca 29 / 100
ASA 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruzeiro Arapiraca ASA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Cruzeiro Arapiraca has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Cruzeiro Arapiraca found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

ASA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 40 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS ASA
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruzeiro Arapiraca

(Home)
18 Mar
Coruripe
1 : 1
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
10 Mar
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
3 : 3
Dimensao Capela
07 Feb
CSA
2 : 0
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
04 Feb
CSA
3 : 0
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
31 Jan
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
2 : 1
Coruripe
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ASA

(Away)
13 Sept
Uberlandia
1 : 1
ASA
06 Sept
ASA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
30 Aug
Gama
0 : 0
ASA
23 Aug
ASA
2 : 0
Gama
16 Aug
ASA
2 : 1
Goiatuba EC
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASA 7 5 2 0 13:3 17
2 CSA 7 5 2 0 10:1 17
3 CRB 7 4 1 2 8:8 13
4 Murici 7 3 2 2 8:5 11
5 Cruzeiro Arapiraca 7 2 0 5 6:12 6
6 Coruripe 7 1 2 4 5:11 5
7 SC Penedense 7 1 2 4 2:8 5
8 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 7 1 1 5 6:10 4
Promotion - Alagoano (Play Offs)