Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Mineirão, Belo Horizonte

Cruzeiro

1 - 0

Boca Juniors

Our Tip

Match Events

Paredes L.

25'

Kaio Jorge

29'

Fagner

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Cruzeiro

20%

Draws

52%

Boca Juniors

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Boca Juniors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence

Boca Juniors average 1.48 goals a game right now, well clear of Cruzeiro's 1.45.
Model gives Boca Juniors a 52% chance of winning this.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Cruzeiro, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%

Cruzeiro Clean Sheet 13%

Boca Juniors Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cruzeiro	Boca Juniors
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	15	15
Draws	8	9
Losses	8	5
Goals Scored	1.45	1.48
Goals Conceded	1.13	0.79
Expected Goals (xG)	1.06	1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Boca Juniors vs Cruzeiro

1:1

Apr 29, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Cruzeiro vs Boca Juniors

1:0

Aug 23, 2024 Copa Sudamericana

Cruzeiro vs Boca Juniors

3:1

Aug 16, 2024 Copa Sudamericana

Boca Juniors vs Cruzeiro

1:0

Oct 5, 2018 Copa Libertadores

Cruzeiro vs Boca Juniors

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cruzeiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Villarreal N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.82

Avg xA / game 0.53

Boca Juniors Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruzeiro 27 / 100

Boca Juniors 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cruzeiro Boca Juniors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boca Juniors Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruzeiro's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Boca Juniors let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Cruzeiro has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cruzeiro VS Boca Juniors

1.5 Goals Scored 1.75

1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63

100% Over 1.5 63%

88% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruzeiro

(Home)

20 Sept

Vitoria

1 : 3

Cruzeiro

13 Sept

Santos

2 : 1

Cruzeiro

06 Sept

Cruzeiro

3 : 1

Athletico-PR

02 Sept

Atletico-MG

2 : 1

Cruzeiro

30 Aug

Vasco

3 : 1

Cruzeiro

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Boca Juniors

(Away)

20 Sept

San Lorenzo

0 : 2

Boca Juniors

16 Sept

Sao Paulo

1 : 1

Boca Juniors

12 Sept

Boca Juniors

3 : 1

Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)

09 Sept

Boca Juniors

1 : 0

Sao Paulo

05 Sept

Gimnasia Mendoza

2 : 2

Boca Juniors

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