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Cruzeiro vs Fluminense

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Mineirão
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Romero L.
43' Event
John Kennedy
46'
Sub
Romero L. In: Matheus Henrique
Out: Romero L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie A Betano matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Cruzeiro
33%
Draws
40%
Fluminense
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Fluminense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cruzeiro lately — more wins on the board than Fluminense.
  • Fluminense are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Cruzeiro Clean Sheet 16%
Fluminense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruzeiro Fluminense
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Serie A Betano
Cruzeiro vs Fluminense
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Serie A Betano
Cruzeiro vs Fluminense
0:0
Jul 17, 2025 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Cruzeiro
0:2
Oct 4, 2024 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Cruzeiro
1:0
Jun 20, 2024 Serie A Betano
Cruzeiro vs Fluminense
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cruzeiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Pereira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Fluminense Compare

Top Goalscorer John Kennedy
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruzeiro 28 / 100
Fluminense 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruzeiro Fluminense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cruzeiro scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Fluminense let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Cruzeiro went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Cruzeiro VS Fluminense
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras18125130:1341
2Flamengo RJ17104331:1634
3Fluminense1995529:2432
4Bragantino1993726:2030
5Athletico-PR1893624:1830
6Bahia1885527:2329
7Coritiba1875624:2426
8Sao Paulo1874723:2025
9Botafogo RJ1874733:3225
10Vitoria1874722:2525
11Atletico-MG1873822:2324
12Corinthians1866618:1924
13Cruzeiro1866624:2824
14Internacional1856721:2221
15Santos1956827:3121
16Gremio1956821:2521
17Vasco1955922:3020
18Mirassol1854920:2519
19Remo1846821:2918
20Chapecoense-SC18161117:359