Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crvena zvezda U19 vs AZ Alkmaar U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 Voždovac Stadium
Tue, Nov 1, 2022
1 - 2
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Crvena zvezda U19 play AZ Alkmaar U19 in the UEFA Youth League 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Crvena zvezda U19 averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. AZ Alkmaar U19 averaged 2.75 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Crvena zvezda U19 won 0, AZ Alkmaar U19 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 1, 2022 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Crvena zvezda U19 and 2.75 for AZ Alkmaar U19. This points to a AZ Alkmaar U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Crvena zvezda U19
18%
Draws
53%
AZ Alkmaar U19
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: AZ Alkmaar U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Crvena zvezda U19 picked up more points recently compared to AZ Alkmaar U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 2.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Crvena zvezda U19 Clean Sheet 10%
AZ Alkmaar U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crvena zvezda U19 AZ Alkmaar U19
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 10 21
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.34 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.47
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2022 UEFA Youth League
Crvena zvezda U19 vs AZ Alkmaar U19
1:2
Oct 25, 2022 UEFA Youth League
AZ Alkmaar U19 vs Crvena zvezda U19
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crvena zvezda U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lekovic S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

AZ Alkmaar U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Poku E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crvena zvezda U19 28 / 100
AZ Alkmaar U19 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crvena zvezda U19 AZ Alkmaar U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZ Alkmaar U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick AZ Alkmaar U19 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.37
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Crvena zvezda U19 attacking → ← attacking AZ Alkmaar U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crvena zvezda U19 scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

AZ Alkmaar U19 let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Crvena zvezda U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

AZ Alkmaar U19 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 68
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75