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CSF Balti vs Sheriff Tiraspol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga Stadionul Orasenesc, Balti
Sun, Nov 29, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSF Balti host Sheriff Tiraspol in the Super Liga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: CSF Balti at 0.54 goals for, 2.5 against; Sheriff Tiraspol at 1.8 for, 0.89 against. Head-to-head, CSF Balti have won 1 to Sheriff Tiraspol's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 20, 2026, ending 7:0. xG projections (0.56 - 3.38) back Sheriff Tiraspol to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
CSF Balti
15%
Draws
85%
Sheriff Tiraspol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sheriff Tiraspol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sheriff Tiraspol lately — more wins on the board than CSF Balti.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Sheriff Tiraspol taking it.
  • Regular Super Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sheriff Tiraspol here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
CSF Balti Clean Sheet 10%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSF Balti Sheriff Tiraspol
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 3 22
Draws 5 6
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 0.54 1.8
Goals Conceded 2.5 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Balti
7:0
Aug 2, 2026 Super Liga
CSF Balti vs Sheriff Tiraspol
1:5
Apr 18, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Balti
2:0
Mar 8, 2026 Super Liga
CSF Balti vs Sheriff Tiraspol
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Balti
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSF Balti 10 / 100
Sheriff Tiraspol 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSF Balti Sheriff Tiraspol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sheriff Tiraspol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

CSF Balti scored in 43% of their last 28 games.

Sheriff Tiraspol let in goals in 46% of their last 35 matches.

Scoring Trends

CSF Balti VS Sheriff Tiraspol
0.25 Goals Scored 2.88
3.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CSF Balti

(Home)
25 Oct
Zimbru Chisinau
4 : 0
CSF Balti
18 Oct
CSF Balti
1 : 4
Politehnica UTM
10 Oct
CSF Balti
0 : 3
Real Sireti
20 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
7 : 0
CSF Balti
13 Sept
Dacia Buiucani
3 : 0
CSF Balti
Page 1 of 6

Sheriff Tiraspol

(Away)
24 Oct
Politehnica UTM
0 : 2
Sheriff Tiraspol
17 Oct
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 : 0
Real Sireti
10 Oct
Dacia Buiucani
2 : 5
Sheriff Tiraspol
20 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
7 : 0
CSF Balti
13 Sept
Milsami
0 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 16 11 4 1 41:12 37
2 Zimbru Chisinau 16 9 4 3 33:14 31
3 Petrocub Hincesti 16 8 5 3 27:15 29
4 Dacia Buiucani 16 7 3 6 22:22 24
5 Politehnica UTM 16 5 4 7 25:25 19
6 Milsami 16 4 7 5 18:23 19
7 Real Sireti 16 1 7 8 12:24 10
8 CSF Balti 16 1 2 13 10:53 5
Promotion - Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super Liga (Relegation Group)