Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSKA Moscow U19 vs FC Chertanovo Moscow U19

Russia Russia

Youth League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSKA Moscow U19 play FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 in the Youth League. CSKA Moscow U19 are favorites here. Recently, CSKA Moscow U19 averaged 2.5 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 averaged 1.41 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. In past meetings, CSKA Moscow U19 won 3, FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 22, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.69 for CSKA Moscow U19 and 1.69 for FC Chertanovo Moscow U19. This points to a CSKA Moscow U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
CSKA Moscow U19
15%
Draws
28%
FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSKA Moscow U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • CSKA Moscow U19 picked up more points recently compared to FC Chertanovo Moscow U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.69 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
CSKA Moscow U19 Clean Sheet 13%
FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Moscow U19 FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 23 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2.5 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Youth League
CSKA Moscow U19 vs FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
3:0
May 17, 2024 Youth League
CSKA Moscow U19 vs FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
5:1
Mar 8, 2024 Youth League
FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 vs CSKA Moscow U19
2:0
Aug 25, 2023 Youth League
CSKA Moscow U19 vs FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
1:2
May 19, 2023 Youth League
CSKA Moscow U19 vs FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSKA Moscow U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ponomarchuk A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tarasenko I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Moscow U19 54 / 100
FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Moscow U19 FC Chertanovo Moscow U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Moscow U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick CSKA Moscow U19 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CSKA Moscow U19 attacking → ← attacking FC Chertanovo Moscow U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA Moscow U19 scored in 97% of their last 30 games.

FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

CSKA Moscow U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

72 Points in last 5 37
3.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Krasnodar U1914111249:1834
2CSKA Moscow U1914102242:1732
3Zenit St Petersburg U191492340:1729
4Lokomotiv Moscow U191485140:2029
5Rodina Moscow U191482427:1726
6Konoplev Academy U191464428:2422
7FK Rostov U191462622:2920
8Spartak Moscow U191447325:2719
9Dynamo Moscow U191452719:2617
10Ural U191444616:2516
11FC Chertanovo Moscow U191444619:3216
12Almaz Antey U191443719:3215
13FC Nizhny Novgorod (Est. 2015) U191433817:3712
14Dynamo Makhachkala U191432922:3211
15Fakel Voronezh U1914301119:339
16Rubin Kazan U1914131018:366