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CSM Alexandria vs Vedita Colonesti

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4 2024/2025 Turnu Măgurele Municipal Stadium, Turnu Măgurele
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AI Match Summary

Vedita Colonesti in this Liga 3 - Seria 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vedita Colonesti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CSM Alexandria
33%
Draws
27%
Vedita Colonesti
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: CSM Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Vedita Colonesti have won more games recently than CSM Alexandria.
  • Win probability leans CSM Alexandria's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 4 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
CSM Alexandria Clean Sheet 20%
Vedita Colonesti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Alexandria Vedita Colonesti
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 2 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 4
CSM Alexandria vs Vedita Colonesti
2:3
Apr 11, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Vedita Colonesti vs CSM Alexandria
4:1
Mar 22, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 4
CSM Alexandria vs Vedita Colonesti
1:2
Nov 30, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 4
CSM Alexandria vs Vedita Colonesti
1:1
Sep 27, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Vedita Colonesti vs CSM Alexandria
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Alexandria 40 / 100
Vedita Colonesti 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Alexandria Vedita Colonesti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSM Alexandria scored in 80% of their last 35 games.

Vedita Colonesti's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: CSM Alexandria stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CSM Alexandria VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Alexandria

(Home)
15 May
Nanov
2 : 2
CSM Alexandria
08 May
CSM Alexandria
2 : 0
CSO Filiasi
01 May
Adunatii-Copaceni
2 : 1
CSM Alexandria
24 Apr
CSM Alexandria
0 : 1
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
18 Apr
Progresul Spartac
2 : 3
CSM Alexandria
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Vedita Colonesti

(Away)
06 Aug
Curtisoara
3 : 0
Vedita Colonesti
30 Jul
Unirea Bascov
1 : 2
Vedita Colonesti
04 Jun
CS Din. Bucuresti
1 : 1
Vedita Colonesti
31 May
Vedita Colonesti
2 : 4
CS Din. Bucuresti
24 May
Popesti Leordeni
1 : 1
Vedita Colonesti
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CS Din. Bucuresti971118:757
2Vedita Colonesti970219:1448
3Progresul Spartac922511:1246
4CSM Alexandria90187:2239
Promotion - Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)