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CSM Bacau vs Stiinta Miroslava

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSM Bacau play Stiinta Miroslava in the Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, CSM Bacau averaged 1.37 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Stiinta Miroslava averaged 1.89 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. In past meetings, CSM Bacau won 0, Stiinta Miroslava won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 3, 2025 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for CSM Bacau and 1.30 for Stiinta Miroslava. This points to a Stiinta Miroslava double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
CSM Bacau
23%
Draws
44%
Stiinta Miroslava
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Stiinta Miroslava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • CSM Bacau picked up more points recently compared to Stiinta Miroslava.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
CSM Bacau Clean Sheet 19%
Stiinta Miroslava Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Bacau Stiinta Miroslava
Matches Played 30 44
Wins 13 24
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.37 1.89
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.39

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Stiinta Miroslava vs CSM Bacau
3:2
Apr 12, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1
CSM Bacau vs Stiinta Miroslava
1:1
Mar 22, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Stiinta Miroslava vs CSM Bacau
4:0
Nov 2, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 1
CSM Bacau vs Stiinta Miroslava
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Stiinta Miroslava vs CSM Bacau
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Bacau 34 / 100
Stiinta Miroslava 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Bacau Stiinta Miroslava

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Stiinta Miroslava or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CSM Bacau attacking → ← attacking Stiinta Miroslava

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSM Bacau scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Stiinta Miroslava let in goals in 73% of their last 44 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

CSM Bacau went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Stiinta Miroslava lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 79
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Bacau970223:1165
2Stiinta Miroslava951317:1253
3CSM Bacau932415:2044
4Gloria Ultra911712:2434