Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSM Focsani vs FC Hermannstadt

Romania Romania

Romanian Cup 2024/2025 Milcovul Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSM Focsani play FC Hermannstadt in the Romanian Cup 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, CSM Focsani averaged 0.66 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. FC Hermannstadt averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, CSM Focsani won 0, FC Hermannstadt won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 28, 2024 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for CSM Focsani and 1.11 for FC Hermannstadt. This points to a FC Hermannstadt double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
CSM Focsani
27%
Draws
48%
FC Hermannstadt
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: FC Hermannstadt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • CSM Focsani picked up more points recently compared to FC Hermannstadt.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
CSM Focsani Clean Sheet 21%
FC Hermannstadt Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Focsani FC Hermannstadt
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.66 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2024 Romanian Cup
CSM Focsani vs FC Hermannstadt
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSM Focsani Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

FC Hermannstadt Compare

Top Goalscorer Popescu R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iancu D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Focsani 27 / 100
FC Hermannstadt 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Focsani FC Hermannstadt

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Hermannstadt or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CSM Focsani attacking → ← attacking FC Hermannstadt

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSM Focsani scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

FC Hermannstadt let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

CSM Focsani went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FC Hermannstadt lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 35
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00