Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSM Satu Mare vs Tunari

Romania Romania

Liga 2 2025/2026 Daniel Prodan Stadium, Satu Mare
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Tudorache V.
38'
Estacio X.
55'
Badea V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
CSM Satu Mare
35%
Draws
50%
Tunari
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tunari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tunari lately — more wins on the board than CSM Satu Mare.
  • Model gives Tunari a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
CSM Satu Mare Clean Sheet 12%
Tunari Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Satu Mare Tunari
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Liga 2
CSM Satu Mare vs Tunari
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 Liga 2
CSM Satu Mare vs Tunari
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSM Satu Mare Compare

Top Goalscorer Panos M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Tunari Compare

Top Goalscorer Balan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Satu Mare 10 / 100
Tunari 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Satu Mare Tunari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tunari Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSM Satu Mare found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Tunari conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

CSM Satu Mare has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CSM Satu Mare VS Tunari
0.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Satu Mare

(Home)
19 Sept
CSM Satu Mare
0 : 2
Afumati
12 Sept
Metaloglobus Bucharest
1 : 1
CSM Satu Mare
06 Sept
CSM Satu Mare
1 : 1
Politehnica Timisoara
29 Aug
Gloria Bistrita
1 : 0
CSM Satu Mare
22 Aug
CSM Satu Mare
0 : 0
FC Bihor
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Tunari

(Away)
19 Sept
Tunari
3 : 0
Urban Titu
12 Sept
Petrolul Berca
2 : 2
Tunari
05 Sept
Tunari
3 : 0
CSO Plopeni
28 Aug
CSM Ramnicu Sarat
1 : 2
Tunari
19 Aug
CSM Corona Brasov
3 : 2
Tunari
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corvinul Hunedoara 21 16 5 0 37:13 53
2 Sepsi 21 13 5 3 34:18 44
3 Chindia Targoviste 21 12 3 6 38:20 39
4 FC Bihor 21 12 3 6 40:24 39
5 Voluntari 21 11 6 4 30:16 39
6 Steaua Bucuresti 21 12 3 6 36:27 39
7 FC ASA Tg. Mures 21 11 4 6 37:22 37
8 CSM Resita 21 10 3 8 35:29 33
9 FC Bacau 21 9 6 6 28:26 33
10 Metalul Buzau 21 10 2 9 33:26 32
11 Poli Iasi 21 9 4 8 25:22 31
12 Afumati 21 9 3 9 30:26 30
13 Concordia 21 8 3 10 29:24 27
14 Gloria Bistrita 21 7 5 9 29:29 26
15 CSM Slatina 21 7 5 9 27:28 26
16 CSC Dumbravita 21 7 4 10 25:33 25
17 Selimbar 21 5 5 11 27:32 20
18 Ceahlaul 21 5 3 13 20:43 18
19 CS Din. Bucuresti 21 3 7 11 19:35 16
20 Tunari 21 3 7 11 19:36 16
21 CSM Satu Mare 21 4 2 15 19:45 14
22 Campulung 21 2 4 15 10:53 10
Promotion - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)