Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CT United FC vs New York City II

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Morrone Stadium, Storrs, CT
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Lopez J.
21'
Lopez J.
28' Event
Tanyi B.
Assist: D’Ippolito D.

AI Match Summary

New York City II in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored New York City II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
CT United FC
20%
Draws
38%
New York City II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CT United FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • CT United FC haven't matched New York City II's recent run of results.
  • CT United FC are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
CT United FC Clean Sheet 12%
New York City II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CT United FC New York City II
Matches Played 18 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 0 0
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 MLS Next Pro
CT United FC vs New York City II
1:4
Apr 19, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New York City II vs CT United FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CT United FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanyi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

New York City II Compare

Top Goalscorer Musu S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CT United FC 40 / 100
New York City II 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CT United FC New York City II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CT United FC found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (18 games).

New York City II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

CT United FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CT United FC VS New York City II
2.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CT United FC

(Home)
19 Jul
CT United FC
2 : 1
New York Red Bulls II
12 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 2
Toronto FC II
05 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 1
Carolina Core
26 Jun
CT United FC
1 : 4
New York City II
18 Jun
CT United FC
4 : 0
FC Cincinnati 2
Page 1 of 4

New York City II

(Away)
26 Jul
Atlanta United 2
3 : 2
New York City II
23 Jul
New England Revolution II
3 : 0
New York City II
11 Jul
Crown Legacy
0 : 3
New York City II
26 Jun
CT United FC
1 : 4
New York City II
21 Jun
New York City II
1 : 2
Chattanooga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 220140636:3139
2New England Revolution II18120626:2035
3New York Red Bulls II201001040:3232
4CT United FC19110835:3331
5New York City II1890929:2928
6Philadelphia Union II20901121:2726
7Toronto FC II20801231:3825
8FC Cincinnati 218501317:3414
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy19140547:2740
2Chattanooga20130739:3037
3Orlando City B19120740:3335
4Atlanta United 219100941:3033
5Chicago Fire II19100934:2830
6Huntsville City18801031:3525
7Carolina Core21601527:3721
8Inter Miami II18201616:468
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers 220130726:2340
2Ventura County20120837:2735
3Los Angeles FC 219100930:3231
4San Jose Earthquakes II1890937:2328
5Tacoma Defiance19901023:2627
6Real Monarchs201001031:3626
7Vancouver Whitecaps 220601425:4417
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II18140440:1643
2Houston Dynamo 217140339:1540
3Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
4St. Louis City 219100930:3229
5North Texas18801029:2326
6Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
7Colorado Rapids 219301617:3712
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy19140547:2740
2Columbus Crew 220140636:3139
3Chattanooga20130739:3037
4New England Revolution II18120626:2035
5Orlando City B19120740:3335
6Atlanta United 219100941:3033
7New York Red Bulls II201001040:3232
8CT United FC19110835:3331
9Chicago Fire II19100934:2830
10New York City II1890929:2928
11Philadelphia Union II20901121:2726
12Toronto FC II20801231:3825
13Huntsville City18801031:3525
14Carolina Core21601527:3721
15FC Cincinnati 218501317:3414
16Inter Miami II18201616:468
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II18140440:1643
2Houston Dynamo 217140339:1540
3Portland Timbers 220130726:2340
4Ventura County20120837:2735
5Los Angeles FC 219100930:3231
6Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
7St. Louis City 219100930:3229
8San Jose Earthquakes II1890937:2328
9Tacoma Defiance19901023:2627
10North Texas18801029:2326
11Real Monarchs201001031:3626
12Vancouver Whitecaps 220601425:4417
13Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
14Colorado Rapids 219301617:3712
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)