Sport Picks

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Cuba vs Cayman Islands

World World

World Championship 2026 Antonio Maceo Stadium, Santiago de Cuba
Tue, Jun 11, 2024
3 - 0
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cuba host Cayman Islands in the World Championship 2026. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Cuba have averaged 1.04 scored and 1.89 conceded recently, against Cayman Islands's 0.86 scored and 2.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Cuba slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 11, 2024, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.38, favoring Cuba. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Cuba
30%
Draws
33%
Cayman Islands
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cuba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cuba lately — more wins on the board than Cayman Islands.
  • Model gives Cuba a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cuba have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Cuba Clean Sheet 68%
Cayman Islands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cuba Cayman Islands
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.04 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.89 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2024 World Championship
Cuba vs Cayman Islands
3:0
Sep 6, 2006 Caribbean Cup
Cuba vs Cayman Islands
7:0
Mar 27, 2004 World Championship
Cuba vs Cayman Islands
3:0
Feb 23, 2004 World Championship
Cayman Islands vs Cuba
1:2
Nov 27, 2002 Gold Cup
Cayman Islands vs Cuba
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cuba 59 / 100
Cayman Islands 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cuba Cayman Islands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cayman Islands's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Cuba's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Cuba remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cuba VS Cayman Islands
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cuba

(Home)
29 Mar
Dominican Republic
1 : 1
Cuba
26 Mar
Martinique
2 : 2
Cuba
16 Nov
Martinique
0 : 2
Cuba
12 Nov
Cuba
3 : 0
Saint Lucia
11 Oct
Grenada
2 : 0
Cuba
Page 1 of 6

Cayman Islands

(Away)
06 Jun
Gibraltar
4 : 1
Cayman Islands
30 Mar
Cayman Islands
1 : 0
Bahamas
27 Mar
Cayman Islands
1 : 1
British Virgin Islands
16 Nov
Cayman Islands
4 : 0
Anguilla
13 Nov
Cayman Islands
1 : 2
British Virgin Islands
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honduras 4 4 0 0 12:2 12
2 Bermuda 4 2 1 1 9:8 7
3 Cuba 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Cayman Islands 4 1 0 3 1:9 3
5 Antigua and Barbuda 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica 4 4 0 0 17:1 12
2 Trinidad & Tobago 4 2 1 1 16:7 7
3 Grenada 4 2 1 1 11:7 7
4 Saint Kitts and Nevis 4 1 0 3 5:13 3
5 Bahamas 4 0 0 4 1:22 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 4 4 0 0 15:2 12
2 Haiti 4 3 0 1 11:7 9
3 Saint Lucia 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
4 Aruba 4 0 2 2 3:10 2
5 Barbados 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Nicaragua 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Guyana 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
4 Montserrat 4 1 0 3 3:10 3
5 Belize 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamaica 4 4 0 0 8:2 12
2 Guatemala 4 3 0 1 13:5 9
3 Dominican Republic 4 2 0 2 11:5 6
4 Dominica 4 1 0 3 5:14 3
5 British Virgin Islands 4 0 0 4 0:11 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suriname 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
2 El Salvador 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
3 Puerto Rico 4 2 1 1 10:2 7
4 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 4 1 0 3 9:9 3
5 Anguilla 4 0 0 4 0:21 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)