Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cumbaya vs 22 de Julio

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
54' Event
68' Event

AI Match Summary

Cumbaya in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cumbaya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cumbaya
6%
Draws
4%
22 de Julio
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cumbaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cumbaya have won more games recently than 22 de Julio.
  • Cumbaya are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Cumbaya Clean Sheet 20%
22 de Julio Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cumbaya 22 de Julio
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 12 7
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Serie B
Cumbaya vs 22 de Julio
4:0
Apr 17, 2026 Serie B
22 de Julio vs Cumbaya
2:1
Oct 15, 2025 Serie B
22 de Julio vs Cumbaya
1:3
Sep 16, 2025 Serie B
Cumbaya vs 22 de Julio
2:0
Jun 10, 2025 Serie B
22 de Julio vs Cumbaya
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumbaya 85 / 100
22 de Julio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cumbaya 22 de Julio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CUM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cumbaya's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

22 de Julio let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Cumbaya went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cumbaya VS 22 de Julio
1 Goals Scored 0.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cumbaya

(Home)
22 Jul
San Antonio
0 : 0
Cumbaya
16 Jul
Cumbaya
0 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
08 Jul
EL Nacional
0 : 1
Cumbaya
02 Jul
Cumbaya
4 : 0
22 de Julio
10 Jun
Gualaceo
1 : 0
Cumbaya
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22 de Julio

(Away)
25 Jul
Nueve de Octubre
1 : 0
22 de Julio
18 Jul
Gualaceo
0 : 1
22 de Julio
11 Jul
22 de Julio
0 : 1
Vinotinto
02 Jul
Cumbaya
4 : 0
22 de Julio
09 Jun
22 de Julio
0 : 1
Atletico FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1897220:1134
2Independiente Juniors1887320:1131
3Atletico FC18710121:1331
4CD Cuenca Juniors1886419:1830
5Vinotinto1875623:1626
6Cumbaya1858519:1623
7LDU Portoviejo1864815:2122
8San Antonio1849520:2021
9Gualaceo1867513:1119
10Dep. Santo Domingo1857613:1319
1122 de Julio1843119:239
12EL Nacional18051310:292
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)