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Cumberland United vs South Adelaide

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Greaves K.
Own Goal
10' Event
Parker R.
20' Event
Min D.

AI Match Summary

The SA State League game between Cumberland United and South Adelaide finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cumberland United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cumberland United
6%
Draws
4%
South Adelaide
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cumberland United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • South Adelaide haven't matched Cumberland United's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cumberland United a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cumberland United have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Cumberland United Clean Sheet 20%
South Adelaide Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cumberland United South Adelaide
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 2 5
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 SA State League
Cumberland United vs South Adelaide
5:1
Mar 21, 2026 SA State League
South Adelaide vs Cumberland United
0:5
Jun 14, 2025 SA State League
South Adelaide vs Cumberland United
0:1
Mar 14, 2025 SA State League
Cumberland United vs South Adelaide
3:1
Jul 30, 2022 NPL South Australia
Cumberland United vs South Adelaide
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cumberland United Compare

Top Goalscorer Min D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tuohy S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

South Adelaide Compare

Top Goalscorer Parker R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumberland United 85 / 100
South Adelaide 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cumberland United South Adelaide

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CUM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cumberland United's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

South Adelaide let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Cumberland United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cumberland United VS South Adelaide
2 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adelaide Croatia Raiders18121549:2337
2Adelaide Olympic18111633:2334
3Fulham United18103538:2733
4Modbury Jets1895434:1832
5Blue Eagles1894531:2531
6Adelaide Atletico1893633:2530
7Cumberland United1891832:2428
8The Cove FC1875626:2626
9Adelaide Cobras18521121:3717
10Eastern United18441018:3616
11South Adelaide18331219:4912
12Salisbury United18321321:4211