Sport Picks

Scotland

Scottish Cup 2022/2023

Cumnock Juniors

1 - 3

Dumbarton

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Carswell S.

(Penalty)

50'

Carnwath R.

Assist: Frye F.

77'

Buchanan G.

Assist: MacLean R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Dumbarton advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%

Cumnock Juniors

15%

Draws

32%

Dumbarton

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cumnock Juniors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence

Dumbarton carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Cumnock Juniors a 53% chance of winning this.
Dumbarton arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Dumbarton, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%

Cumnock Juniors Clean Sheet 20%

Dumbarton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cumnock Juniors	Dumbarton
Matches Played	17	29
Wins	7	9
Draws	3	5
Losses	7	15
Goals Scored	2	1.31
Goals Conceded	2	2.1
Expected Goals (xG)	2.07	0.87
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2022 Scottish Cup

Cumnock Juniors vs Dumbarton

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cumnock Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Carnwath R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 1.03

Dumbarton Compare

Top Goalscorer Buchanan G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gray F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.79

Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumnock Juniors 85 / 100

Dumbarton 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cumnock Juniors Dumbarton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cumnock Juniors Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cumnock Juniors scored in 94% of their last 17 outings.

Dumbarton has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Cumnock Juniors has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cumnock Juniors VS Dumbarton

2.14 Goals Scored 0.88

0.86 Goals Conceded 2

71% Over 1.5 88%

43% Over 2.5 63%

43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cumnock Juniors

(Home)

16 Sept

Cumnock Juniors

2 : 0

Beith

12 Sept

Dalbeattie Star

1 : 6

Cumnock Juniors

29 Aug

Cumnock Juniors

5 : 0

Newton Stewart

21 Aug

Celtic B

4 : 1

Cumnock Juniors

18 Aug

Cumnock Juniors

1 : 1

Largs Thistle

Page 1 of 4

Dumbarton

(Away)

19 Sept

Dumbarton

3 : 0

Spartans

12 Sept

Stranraer

3 : 1

Dumbarton

08 Sept

Cove Rangers

6 : 1

Dumbarton

05 Sept

Dumbarton

2 : 1

Elgin City

29 Aug

Annan

2 : 0

Dumbarton

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

St Johnstone -

TBD -

Rangers -

Partick -

TBD -

Kelty Hearts -

Dunfermline -

TBD -

Kilwinning Rangers 4

Tranent FC 2

TBD -

Forfar Athletic -

Linlithgow Rose 2

Berwick 1

Clydebank FC 1

Spartans 3

Gala Fairydean Rovers 1

Sauchie 4

TBD -

Bonnyrigg Rose -

Raith -

TBD -

Cowdenbeath 0

Boness United 1

Syngenta 2

Auchinleck Talbot 4

Civil Service Strollers 1

Fraserburgh 2

TBD -

Stranraer -

TBD -

Arbroath -

TBD -

Motherwell -

Hamilton -

TBD -

Deveronvale 2

East Kilbride 4

Caledonian Braves 6

Newton Stewart 1

TBD -

Ross County -

Hibernian -

TBD -

Hearts -

Celtic -

TBD -

Morton -

TBD -

Queen of the South -

St. Mirren -

TBD -

Dundee FC -

TBD -

Airdrieonians -

Montrose -

TBD -

Cumbernauld Colts 0

Dalbeattie Star 1

Darvel FC 8

Tynecastle 0

TBD -

Aberdeen -

Lossiemouth 1

Buckie Thistle 2

Broomhill 3

Brora Rangers 2

TBD -

Alloa -

Wick Academy 5

Lochee United 1

Benburb 4

Dundonald Bluebell 2

TBD -

Falkirk -

Cove Rangers -

TBD -

Dunipace 2

Broxburn Athletic 1

Banks O' Dee 0

Turriff United 3

Ayr -

TBD -

Pollok 6

Huntly 0

TBD -

Annan -

Musselburgh 1

Newtongrange Star 2

Hill Of Beath 3

Inverurie Loco Works 1

Elgin City -

TBD -

Strathspey Thistle 0

Camelon Juniors 5

Gretna 2008 3

Edinburgh University 1

Nairn County 1

Drumchapel United 3

TBD -

Edinburgh City -

Carnoustie Panmure 3

Rothes 1

Formartine Utd 3

East Stirlingshire 1

Stenhousemuir -

TBD -

East Fife -

TBD -

Livingston -

Inverness -

TBD -

Jeanfield Swifts 1

Brechin 5

TBD -

Stirling -

Peterhead -

TBD -

Queen's Park -

Dundee Utd -

TBD -

Forres Mechanics 2

Glasgow University 3

TBD -

Albion Rovers -

Dunbar United 3

Clachnacuddin 2

Stirling University 3

Hutchison Vale 0

Kilmarnock -

TBD -

Clyde -

TBD -

Keith 1

Cumnock Juniors 2

TBD -

Dumbarton -

1/64-finals

St Johnstone -

TBD -

Rangers -

Partick -

TBD -

Kelty Hearts -

Dunfermline -

TBD -

Kilwinning Rangers 1

Forfar Athletic 3

Linlithgow Rose 4

Spartans 0

Sauchie 3

Bonnyrigg Rose 2

Raith -

TBD -

Boness United 1

Auchinleck Talbot 2

Fraserburgh 2

Stranraer 1

TBD -

Arbroath -

TBD -

Motherwell -

Hamilton -

TBD -

East Kilbride 5

Caledonian Braves 0

TBD -

Ross County -

Hibernian -

TBD -

Hearts -

Celtic -

TBD -

Morton -

TBD -

Queen of the South -

St. Mirren -

TBD -

Dundee FC -

TBD -

Airdrieonians -

Montrose -

TBD -

Dalbeattie Star 1

Darvel FC 7

TBD -

Aberdeen -

Buckie Thistle 1

Broomhill 3

TBD -

Alloa -

Wick Academy 2

Benburb 0

TBD -

Falkirk -

Cove Rangers -

TBD -

Dunipace 5

Turriff United 2

Ayr -

TBD -

Pollok 4

Annan 3

Newtongrange Star 0

Hill Of Beath 1

Elgin City 4

Camelon Juniors 0

Gretna 2008 1

Drumchapel United 4

TBD -

Edinburgh City -

Carnoustie Panmure 1

Formartine Utd 2

Stenhousemuir 2

East Fife 1

TBD -

Livingston -

Inverness -

TBD -

Brechin 2

Stirling 3

Peterhead -

TBD -

Queen's Park -

Dundee Utd -

TBD -

Glasgow University 1

Albion Rovers 4

Dunbar United 1

Stirling University 3

Kilmarnock -

TBD -

Clyde -

TBD -

Cumnock Juniors 1

Dumbarton 3

1/32-finals

St Johnstone -

TBD -

Rangers -

Partick 3

Kelty Hearts 0

Dunfermline 4

Forfar Athletic 0

Linlithgow Rose 1

Sauchie 0

Raith 3

Auchinleck Talbot 0

Fraserburgh 0

Arbroath 2

TBD -

Motherwell -

Hamilton 4

East Kilbride 0

TBD -

Ross County -

Hibernian -

TBD -

Hearts -

Celtic -

TBD -

Morton 4

Queen of the South 1

St. Mirren -

TBD -

Dundee FC 6

Airdrieonians 2

Montrose 2

Darvel FC 5

TBD -

Aberdeen -

Broomhill 1

Alloa 2

Wick Academy 0

Falkirk 6

Cove Rangers 7

Dunipace 0

Ayr 1

Pollok 0

Hill Of Beath 1

Elgin City 2

Drumchapel United 1

Edinburgh City 0

Formartine Utd 1

Stenhousemuir 3

TBD -

Livingston -

Inverness 3

Stirling 2

Peterhead 0

Queen's Park 3

Dundee Utd -

TBD -

Albion Rovers 0

Stirling University 1

Kilmarnock -

TBD -

Clyde 1

Dumbarton 3

1/16-finals

St Johnstone 0

Rangers 1

Partick 2

Dunfermline 1

Linlithgow Rose 0

Raith 2

Arbroath 0

Motherwell 2

Hamilton 1

Ross County 0

Hibernian 0

Hearts 3

Celtic 5

Morton 0

St. Mirren 1

Dundee FC 0

Darvel FC 1

Aberdeen 0

Alloa 1

Falkirk 2

Cove Rangers 0

Ayr 3

Elgin City 2

Drumchapel United 1

Stenhousemuir 1

Livingston 3

Inverness -

Queen's Park -

Dundee Utd 3

Stirling University 0

Kilmarnock 1

Dumbarton 0

1/8-finals

Rangers 3

Partick 2

Raith 3

Motherwell 1

Hamilton 0

Hearts 2

Celtic 5

St. Mirren 1

Darvel FC 1

Falkirk 5

Ayr 4

Elgin City 1

Livingston 0

Inverness 3

Dundee Utd 0

Kilmarnock 1

Quarter-finals

Rangers 3

Raith 0

Hearts 0

Celtic 3

Falkirk 2

Ayr 1

Inverness 2

Kilmarnock 1

Semi-finals

Rangers 0

Celtic 1

Falkirk 0

Inverness 3

Final

Celtic 3

Inverness 1

Cumnock Juniors vs Dumbarton

Scotland

Cumnock Juniors

Dumbarton

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Cumnock Juniors Compare

Dumbarton Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Cumnock Juniors

Dumbarton

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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