Sport Picks
Curico Unido vs Recoleta Prediction & H2H Stats
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Bicentenario La Granja, Curicó 
Match Events
15'
15'
Espinoza J.
27'
27'
Sub
Alvarez G. In: Carvajal N.
Out: Alvarez G.
56'
56'
Sub
Alfaro J. In: Fernandez N.
Out: Alfaro J.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Ascenso game between Curico Unido and Recoleta finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
20%
58%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Recoleta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Recoleta carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Curico Unido Clean Sheet 16%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Curico Unido | Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs Recoleta
0:0
Apr 18, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs Curico Unido
2:2
Oct 25, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs Curico Unido
1:1
Jun 14, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs Recoleta
1:1
Aug 5, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs Recoleta
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Curico Unido 31 / 100
Recoleta 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Curico Unido Recoleta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Curico Unido's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Recoleta let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Curico Unido has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Curico Unido VS Recoleta
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Curico Unido
(Home) 27 Sept
D. Concepcion
2 : 0 Curico Unido
23 Sept
Curico Unido
0 : 4 D. Concepcion
13 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
3 : 0 Curico Unido
08 Sept
Curico Unido
2 : 1 U. Espanola
05 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0 Curico Unido
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Curico Unido
0 : 4 D. Concepcion
08 Sept
Curico Unido
2 : 1 U. Espanola
30 Aug
Curico Unido
0 : 0 Recoleta
23 Aug
Curico Unido
2 : 0 San Felipe
14 Aug
Curico Unido
1 : 2 Deportes Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 3
Recoleta
(Away) 14 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0 Recoleta
09 Sept
Recoleta
2 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
06 Sept
Antofagasta
1 : 2 Recoleta
30 Aug
Curico Unido
0 : 0 Recoleta
27 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 3 O Higgins
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0 Recoleta
06 Sept
Antofagasta
1 : 2 Recoleta
30 Aug
Curico Unido
0 : 0 Recoleta
18 Aug
Deportes Temuco
1 : 1 Recoleta
08 Aug
San Felipe
0 : 0 Recoleta
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 43:27 | 45 |
| 2 | S. Wanderers | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40:26 | 44 |
| 3 | San Luis | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 39:29 | 44 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 41:38 | 40 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 42:26 | 38 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 36:33 | 38 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31:23 | 36 |
| 8 | U. Espanola | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 32:32 | 36 |
| 9 | Copiapo | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37:39 | 34 |
| 10 | D. Puerto Montt | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26:31 | 34 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40:35 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 33:30 | 28 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22:38 | 24 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 26:38 | 22 |
| 15 | San Felipe | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 16:42 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23:40 | 18 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
