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Curslack-Neuengamme vs Turkiye Wilhelmsburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Curslack-Neuengamme play Turkiye Wilhelmsburg in the Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026. Turkiye Wilhelmsburg are favorites here. Recently, Curslack-Neuengamme averaged 1.3 goals scored and 4.83 conceded. Turkiye Wilhelmsburg averaged 1.83 goals scored and 3.1 conceded. In past meetings, Curslack-Neuengamme won 1, Turkiye Wilhelmsburg won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Curslack-Neuengamme and 1.00 for Turkiye Wilhelmsburg. This points to a Turkiye Wilhelmsburg double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Curslack-Neuengamme
25%
Draws
60%
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Turkiye Wilhelmsburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Curslack-Neuengamme picked up more points recently compared to Turkiye Wilhelmsburg.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 97%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 55%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Curslack-Neuengamme Clean Sheet 23%
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 87%
Second Half Goal 92%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curslack-Neuengamme Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 7
Draws 2 6
Losses 27 17
Goals Scored 1.3 1.83
Goals Conceded 4.83 3.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.13 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
Curslack-Neuengamme vs Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
1:4
Oct 5, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg vs Curslack-Neuengamme
6:2
Dec 3, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
Curslack-Neuengamme vs Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
0:3
Aug 14, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg vs Curslack-Neuengamme
4:1
Apr 21, 2018 Oberliga Hamburg
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg vs Curslack-Neuengamme
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curslack-Neuengamme 18 / 100
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curslack-Neuengamme Turkiye Wilhelmsburg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turkiye Wilhelmsburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Turkiye Wilhelmsburg & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.4%
1.18
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Curslack-Neuengamme attacking → ← attacking Turkiye Wilhelmsburg

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Curslack-Neuengamme scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Curslack-Neuengamme went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

5 Points in last 5 27
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
4.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.13