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Curtisoara vs Progresul Spartac

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 game between Curtisoara and Progresul Spartac finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Curtisoara
15%
Draws
51%
Progresul Spartac
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progresul Spartac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Curtisoara haven't matched Progresul Spartac's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Progresul Spartac's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Curtisoara Clean Sheet 10%
Progresul Spartac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curtisoara Progresul Spartac
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 5 2
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.59 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Curtisoara vs Progresul Spartac
2:1
Feb 28, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Curtisoara vs Progresul Spartac
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Progresul Spartac vs Curtisoara
1:2
Mar 8, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Curtisoara vs Progresul Spartac
0:3
Oct 19, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Progresul Spartac vs Curtisoara
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curtisoara 18 / 100
Progresul Spartac 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curtisoara Progresul Spartac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progresul Spartac Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progresul Spartac's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Curtisoara found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Curtisoara has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Curtisoara VS Progresul Spartac
2 Goals Scored 3.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Curtisoara

(Home)
05 Sept
Farcasesti
3 : 1
Curtisoara
29 Aug
Curtisoara
2 : 3
CSM Targu Jiu
12 Aug
Curtisoara
0 : 3
CSM Slatina
05 Aug
CSO Filiasi
3 : 4
Curtisoara
29 Jul
Curtisoara
1 : 0
Academica Bals
Page 1 of 6

Progresul Spartac

(Away)
04 Sept
CSM Alexandria
1 : 0
Progresul Spartac
01 Sept
Progresul Spartac
2 : 5
Concordia
29 Aug
Progresul Spartac
5 : 1
Oxigen Bucuresti
19 Aug
Blaj
1 : 3
Progresul Spartac
12 Aug
Progresul Spartac
2 : 1
Metaloglobus Bucharest
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CS U Craiova 2 20 15 4 1 37:16 49
2 Cetatea Turnu Magurele 20 12 7 1 41:19 43
3 Academica Bals 20 12 5 3 35:18 41
4 LPS HD Clinceni 20 12 3 5 44:19 39
5 CSM Alexandria 20 10 6 4 35:19 36
6 Curtisoara 20 8 4 8 28:31 28
7 Progresul Spartac 20 8 2 10 33:33 26
8 SCM Dunarea Giurgiu 20 5 2 13 19:38 17
9 Adunatii-Copaceni 20 4 1 15 16:36 13
10 CSO Filiasi 20 3 2 15 15:42 11
11 Nanov 20 2 2 16 13:45 8
12 FC U Craiova 0 0 0 0 0:0 -106
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)