Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cusco vs Alianza Atl.

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Manzaneda J.
Assist: Colitto L.
30'
Manzaneda J.
30'
Guzman W.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Cusco and Alianza Atl. finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cusco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cusco
15%
Draws
49%
Alianza Atl.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alianza Atl.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Cusco haven't matched Alianza Atl.'s recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Cusco Clean Sheet 10%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cusco Alianza Atl.
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.44 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Liga 1
Cusco vs Alianza Atl.
4:1
Feb 1, 2026 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Cusco
1:0
Aug 17, 2025 Liga 1
Cusco vs Alianza Atl.
1:0
Mar 28, 2025 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Cusco
2:4
Aug 15, 2024 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Cusco
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cusco Compare

Top Goalscorer Manzaneda J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Colman I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Alianza Atl. Compare

Top Goalscorer Penilla C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cusco 30 / 100
Alianza Atl. 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cusco Alianza Atl.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza Atl. has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Cusco's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Cusco stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cusco VS Alianza Atl.
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cusco

(Home)
19 Sept
FC Cajamarca
1 : 2
Cusco
12 Sept
Cusco
0 : 1
FBC Melgar
05 Sept
Cusco
2 : 0
Moquegua
31 Aug
Cienciano
1 : 2
Cusco
23 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1
Cusco
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Alianza Atl.

(Away)
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1
Comerciantes Unidos
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1
Alianza Atl.
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2
Cajamarca
30 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 4
Alianza Atl.
25 Aug
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1
Cajamarca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso 10 7 1 2 18:6 22
2 Universitario de Deportes 10 6 2 2 19:16 20
3 Sporting Cristal 10 6 1 3 20:10 19
4 Alianza Atl. 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
5 Sport Huancayo 10 6 1 3 16:13 19
6 Juan Pablo II 10 5 3 2 20:12 18
7 FBC Melgar 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
8 Sport Boys 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
9 Cusco 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
10 A. Lima 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
11 Atletico Grau 10 5 1 4 14:13 16
12 FC Cajamarca 10 3 1 6 18:24 10
13 Comerciantes Unidos 10 2 3 5 17:18 9
14 Cienciano 8 2 1 5 10:15 7
15 Moquegua 10 1 4 5 7:17 7
16 Los Chankas 9 2 1 6 10:23 7
17 Cajamarca 10 0 2 8 11:24 2
18 AD Tarma 9 0 2 7 5:20 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)