Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cusco vs Alianza Atl.

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Manzaneda J.
Assist: Colitto L.
30'
Manzaneda J.
30'
Guzman W.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Cusco and Alianza Atl. finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cusco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Cusco
33%
Draws
40%
Alianza Atl.
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Alianza Atl.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Cusco haven't matched Alianza Atl.'s recent run of results.
  • Model gives Alianza Atl. a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Cusco Clean Sheet 16%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cusco Alianza Atl.
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Liga 1
Cusco vs Alianza Atl.
4:1
Feb 1, 2026 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Cusco
1:0
Aug 17, 2025 Liga 1
Cusco vs Alianza Atl.
1:0
Mar 28, 2025 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Cusco
2:4
Aug 15, 2024 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Cusco
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cusco Compare

Top Goalscorer Manzaneda J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Colman I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Alianza Atl. Compare

Top Goalscorer Penilla C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cusco 28 / 100
Alianza Atl. 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cusco Alianza Atl.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cusco scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Alianza Atl.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Cusco stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cusco VS Alianza Atl.
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cusco

(Home)
28 Jun
Cusco
1 : 2
Cienciano
22 Jun
Binacional
4 : 3
Cusco
14 Jun
Deportivo Garcilaso
0 : 0
Cusco
30 May
AD Tarma
1 : 2
Cusco
27 May
Flamengo RJ
3 : 0
Cusco
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Alianza Atl.

(Away)
10 Jul
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2
Pirata
28 Jun
A. Lima
1 : 2
Alianza Atl.
19 Jun
Alianza Atl.
2 : 0
Cesar Vallejo
13 Jun
Carlos Mannucci
0 : 1
Alianza Atl.
31 May
FBC Melgar
3 : 1
Alianza Atl.
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cusco11004:13
2FBC Melgar11003:13
3Atletico Grau11003:13
4Universitario de Deportes11002:13
5Sporting Cristal11001:03
6Comerciantes Unidos10102:21
7Moquegua10102:21
8Juan Pablo II10102:21
9FC Cajamarca10102:21
10A. Lima00000:00
11Sport Boys00000:00
12Sport Huancayo00000:00
13Los Chankas00000:00
14AD Tarma10011:20
15Deportivo Garcilaso10010:10
16Cienciano10011:30
17Cajamarca10011:30
18Alianza Atl.10011:40
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)