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Stadium Background

Cwmbran Town vs Ynyshir Albions

Wales Wales

FA Cup Cwmbran Stadium
Sat, Sep 20, 2025
5 - 4
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cwmbran Town in this FA Cup matchup, with the score ending 5-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cwmbran Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Cwmbran Town
39%
Draws
30%
Ynyshir Albions
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Cwmbran Town at 2 per game, Ynyshir Albions at 0.63.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Cwmbran Town Clean Sheet 11%
Ynyshir Albions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cwmbran Town Ynyshir Albions
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 2 8
Losses 23 17
Goals Scored 2 0.63
Goals Conceded 3 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 FA Cup
Cwmbran Town vs Ynyshir Albions
5:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cwmbran Town 30 / 100
Ynyshir Albions 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cwmbran Town Ynyshir Albions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YNY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 9.00 goals as a typical output.

Cwmbran Town found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Ynyshir Albions's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Cwmbran Town went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cwmbran Town VS Ynyshir Albions
2 Goals Scored 0.63
3 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Porthmadog3
Denbigh2
TBD-
Buckley-
Port Talbot2
Seven Sisters1
Afan Lido3
Evans Williams2
Pwllheli1
Rhyl3
Brickfield Rangers3
NFA1
Llantwit Major2
Baglan Dragons0
Cwmbran Town5
Ynyshir Albions4
Llanelli-
TBD-
TBD-
Haverfordwest-
Aberystwyth-
TBD-
TBD-
Barry Town-
Caerphilly1
Caldicot3
Penrhiwceiber Rangers7
Pentwynmawr Ath0
Saltney Town3
Gresford7
Llanrug4
Ruthin Town3
Cardiff Metropolitan University-
TBD-
Taffs Well2
Abertillery Excelsiors1
Mold Alexandra-
TBD-
TBD-
TNS-
Newtown-
TBD-
TBD-
Caernarfon-
Llannefydd5
Llanberis FC1
Penrhyncoch2
Sychdyn Utd0
Llwydcoed3
Lliswerry1
Pill-
Treowen-
Pontypridd United-
TBD-
Rhayader1
Cefn Cribwr4
Carmarthen Town-
TBD-
TBD-
Trethomas Bluebirds-
Llanfair United1
Kinmel Bay2
TBD-
Colwyn Bay-
Goytre Utd2
Ammanford Town1
TBD-
Cambrian United-
Briton Ferry-
TBD-
TBD-
Penybont-
Bow Street4
Cefn Albion2
TBD-
Flint Town-
Holyhead4
Forden Utd0
TBD-
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
Cwmbach Royal Stars3
Garden Village4
Tredegar Town1
Glynneath Town3
Broughton Utd2
Welshpool1
Berriew FC0
Trearddur Bay3
Newport City-
TBD-
Penygraig Utd3
Cwm Welfare2
Blaenavon Blues4
Canton1
Pontyclun FC4
Tata Steel1
St. Asaph0
Bangor 18766
TBD-
Guilsfield-
Holywell Town FC-
TBD-
Rhostyllen5
Nefyn United2
Dinas Powys3
Afan United1
Cardiff Draconians4
Cwmbran Celtic2
Abercarn United1
Pure Swansea2
TBD-
Trefelin-
Caersws FC6
Hawarden Rangers1
Dolgellau Athletic8
Queens Park3
Penydarren0
Caerau Ely5
Morriston Town1
Clydach0
Llandudno FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Flint Mountain-
Bala-
TBD-
TBD-
Connahs Q.-
1/32-finals
Porthmadog1
Buckley0
Port Talbot3
Afan Lido1
Rhyl1
Brickfield Rangers0
Llantwit Major1
Cwmbran Town2
Llanelli3
Haverfordwest0
Aberystwyth0
Barry Town5
Caldicot0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers2
Gresford9
Llanrug0
Cardiff Metropolitan University5
Taffs Well1
Mold Alexandra1
TNS2
Newtown0
Caernarfon3
Llannefydd1
Penrhyncoch2
Llwydcoed2
Treowen5
Pontypridd United3
Cefn Cribwr1
Carmarthen Town5
Trethomas Bluebirds1
Kinmel Bay0
Colwyn Bay5
Goytre Utd0
Cambrian United6
Briton Ferry0
Penybont5
Bow Street0
Flint Town3
Holyhead2
Airbus UK Broughton FC5
Garden Village2
Glynneath Town4
Broughton Utd0
Trearddur Bay6
Newport City3
Penygraig Utd1
Blaenavon Blues4
Pontyclun FC2
Bangor 18762
Guilsfield1
Holywell Town FC3
Rhostyllen2
Dinas Powys1
Cardiff Draconians3
Pure Swansea1
Trefelin6
Caersws FC0
Dolgellau Athletic1
Caerau Ely3
Morriston Town0
Llandudno FC3
Flint Mountain0
Bala0
Connahs Q.3
1/16-finals
Porthmadog3
Port Talbot2
Rhyl3
Cwmbran Town2
Llanelli0
Barry Town6
Penrhiwceiber Rangers0
Gresford3
Cardiff Metropolitan University2
TNS1
Caernarfon4
Penrhyncoch0
Treowen1
Pontypridd United2
Carmarthen Town1
Colwyn Bay3
Cambrian United1
Penybont3
Flint Town1
Airbus UK Broughton FC0
Glynneath Town2
Trearddur Bay5
Newport City3
Blaenavon Blues2
Bangor 18762
Holywell Town FC1
Cardiff Draconians3
Trefelin4
Dolgellau Athletic0
Caerau Ely2
Llandudno FC2
Connahs Q.1
1/8-finals
Porthmadog1
Rhyl2
Barry Town4
Gresford0
Cardiff Metropolitan University2
Caernarfon4
Pontypridd United0
Colwyn Bay3
Penybont0
Flint Town1
Trearddur Bay5
Newport City3
Bangor 18762
Trefelin0
Caerau Ely2
Llandudno FC1
Quarter-finals
Rhyl2
Barry Town1
Caernarfon4
Colwyn Bay1
Flint Town3
Trearddur Bay0
Bangor 18763
Caerau Ely1
Semi-finals
Rhyl1
Caernarfon2
Flint Town5
Bangor 18761
Final
Caernarfon3
Flint Town0