Sport Picks

Stadium Background

D. Puerto Montt vs Curico Unido

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Regional de Chinquihue, Puerto Montt
D. Puerto Montt Logo

D. Puerto Montt

2 - 0
FT
Curico Unido Logo

Curico Unido

Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Calisto F.
34'
Vargas C.
35'
Sanhueza H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

D. Puerto Montt in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored D. Puerto Montt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
D. Puerto Montt
15%
Draws
42%
Curico Unido
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: D. Puerto Montt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to D. Puerto Montt lately — more wins on the board than Curico Unido.
  • D. Puerto Montt are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
D. Puerto Montt Clean Sheet 20%
Curico Unido Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric D. Puerto Montt Curico Unido
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 4 11
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.03 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs Curico Unido
2:0
Apr 26, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs D. Puerto Montt
2:1
Jan 21, 2017 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs D. Puerto Montt
0:0
Nov 5, 2016 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs Curico Unido
0:2
Apr 23, 2016 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs Curico Unido
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

D. Puerto Montt Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Flores J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Curico Unido Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

D. Puerto Montt 36 / 100
Curico Unido 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
D. Puerto Montt Curico Unido

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

D. Puerto Montt's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Curico Unido let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Curico Unido lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

D. Puerto Montt VS Curico Unido
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

D. Puerto Montt

(Home)
29 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
0 : 1
Colo Colo
26 Sept
Nublense
2 : 1
D. Puerto Montt
22 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0
Nublense
13 Sept
Magallanes
2 : 0
D. Puerto Montt
08 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
1 : 2
Rangers
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Curico Unido

(Away)
27 Sept
D. Concepcion
2 : 0
Curico Unido
23 Sept
Curico Unido
0 : 4
D. Concepcion
13 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
3 : 0
Curico Unido
08 Sept
Curico Unido
2 : 1
U. Espanola
05 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0
Curico Unido
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 25 12 9 4 43:27 45
2 S. Wanderers 25 12 8 5 40:26 44
3 San Luis 24 11 8 5 38:29 41
4 Magallanes 25 11 7 7 41:38 40
5 Antofagasta 25 10 8 7 42:26 38
6 Recoleta 25 10 8 7 36:33 38
7 San Marcos de Arica 25 9 9 7 31:23 36
8 U. Espanola 25 10 6 9 32:32 36
9 Copiapo 25 9 7 9 37:39 34
10 D. Puerto Montt 25 10 4 11 26:31 34
11 Deportes Temuco 25 8 8 9 40:35 32
12 Deportes Iquique 25 6 10 9 33:30 28
13 Curico Unido 25 6 9 10 22:38 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 25 4 10 11 26:38 22
15 San Felipe 24 5 7 12 16:41 22
16 Rangers 25 4 6 15 23:40 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)