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Dagon Port vs Hantharwady United

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Aung Than Toe
39' Event
Soe Maung Maung
65' Event
Kyaw K.

AI Match Summary

Hantharwady United in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hantharwady United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Dagon Port
30%
Draws
12%
Hantharwady United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dagon Port

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Dagon Port haven't matched Hantharwady United's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Dagon Port a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hantharwady United here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Dagon Port Clean Sheet 11%
Hantharwady United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dagon Port Hantharwady United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 10 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 2.07 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 National League
Dagon Port vs Hantharwady United
1:4
Sep 12, 2025 National League
Hantharwady United vs Dagon Port
5:4
Jan 28, 2025 National League
Dagon Port vs Hantharwady United
1:2
Jul 7, 2024 National League
Hantharwady United vs Dagon Port
4:3
May 3, 2024 MNL League Cup
Dagon Port vs Hantharwady United
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dagon Port Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Hantharwady United Compare

Top Goalscorer Soe Maung Maung
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aung Than Toe
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dagon Port 83 / 100
Hantharwady United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dagon Port Hantharwady United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dagon Port Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Dagon Port's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Hantharwady United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Dagon Port remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dagon Port VS Hantharwady United
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dagon Port

(Home)
16 Mar
Dagon Port
1 : 0
Yadanarbon
11 Mar
Ispe
2 : 1
Dagon Port
06 Mar
Dagon Port
5 : 3
Rakhine United
26 Feb
Dagon Port
5 : 2
Yarmanya United
20 Feb
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon Port
Page 1 of 6

Hantharwady United

(Away)
05 Sept
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Hantharwady United
29 Aug
Dagon
2 : 0
Hantharwady United
18 Mar
Shan United
1 : 0
Hantharwady United
11 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 0
Rakhine United
04 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 4
Yangon United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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