Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dagon vs Dagon Port

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026 Thuwunna Stadium, Yangon
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Moukailou K.
27' Event
Thiha A.
37' Event
Michel M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Dagon
20%
Draws
40%
Dagon Port
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dagon lately — more wins on the board than Dagon Port.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Dagon Clean Sheet 12%
Dagon Port Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dagon Dagon Port
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.17 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 National League
Dagon Port vs Dagon
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 National League
Dagon vs Dagon Port
3:3
Jan 10, 2025 National League
Dagon Port vs Dagon
0:3
Jul 26, 2024 National League
Dagon vs Dagon Port
4:2
Apr 27, 2024 MNL League Cup
Dagon vs Dagon Port
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dagon Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiha A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wai H. P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Dagon Port Compare

Top Goalscorer Moukailou K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Michel M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dagon 29 / 100
Dagon Port 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dagon Dagon Port

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dagon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dagon scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Dagon Port's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Dagon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dagon VS Dagon Port
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Dagon

(Home)
06 Sept
Ayeyawady
0 : 5
Dagon
29 Aug
Dagon
2 : 0
Hantharwady United
18 Mar
Yangon United
4 : 0
Dagon
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
03 Mar
Dagon
1 : 0
Mahar United
Page 1 of 6

Dagon Port

(Away)
16 Mar
Dagon Port
1 : 0
Yadanarbon
11 Mar
Ispe
2 : 1
Dagon Port
06 Mar
Dagon Port
5 : 3
Rakhine United
26 Feb
Dagon Port
5 : 2
Yarmanya United
20 Feb
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon Port
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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