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Damac vs Al Fayha Prediction & H2H Stats

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Abha
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Match Events

16' Event
Sylla M.
Assist: Vada V.
32'
Al Baqawi M.
46'
Sub
Bamsaud A. In: Vrontis S.
Out: Bamsaud A.

AI Match Summary

Damac in this Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Damac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Damac
35%
Draws
28%
Al Fayha
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Damac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Fayha lately — more wins on the board than Damac.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Damac Clean Sheet 68%
Al Fayha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Damac Al Fayha
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Damac vs Al Fayha
3:0
Jan 17, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Fayha vs Damac
1:1
May 2, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Fayha vs Damac
2:1
Dec 5, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Damac vs Al Fayha
2:2
May 17, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Damac vs Al Fayha
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Damac Compare

Top Goalscorer Bedrane A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sylla M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Al Fayha Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Damac 41 / 100
Al Fayha 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Damac Al Fayha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Damac Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Fayha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Damac went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Damac scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Damac VS Al Fayha
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Damac

(Home)
20 Sept
Damac
3 : 2
Al Adalah
14 Sept
Al Bukiryah
1 : 2
Damac
08 Sept
Damac
0 : 1
Al-Ula
02 Sept
Al Wehda
2 : 2
Damac
28 Aug
Damac
0 : 0
Al Orubah
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Al Fayha

(Away)
12 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 0
Al Fayha
08 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Fayha
03 Sept
Al Fayha
2 : 2
Al Kholood
28 Aug
Al Fayha
3 : 2
Abha
25 Aug
Al Taawon
0 : 0
Al Fayha
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nassr 34 28 2 4 91:28 86
2 Al Hilal 34 25 9 0 85:27 84
3 Al Ahli SC 34 25 6 3 71:25 81
4 Al Qadsiah 34 23 8 3 83:34 77
5 Al Ittihad 34 16 7 11 55:48 55
6 Al Taawon 34 15 8 11 59:46 53
7 Al Ettifaq FC 34 14 8 12 51:55 50
8 Neom SC 34 12 9 13 43:48 45
9 Al Hazem Rass 34 11 9 14 38:57 42
10 Al Fayha 34 10 8 16 41:54 38
11 Al Fateh 34 9 10 15 41:55 37
12 Al Khaleej 34 10 7 17 54:62 37
13 Al Shabab 34 8 11 15 44:57 35
14 Al Kholood 34 9 6 19 39:61 33
15 Al Riyadh 34 7 9 18 35:63 30
16 Damac 34 6 11 17 32:55 29
17 Al Okhdood 34 5 5 24 27:70 20
18 Al Najma 34 3 7 24 32:76 16
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)