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Stadium Background

Damac vs Al Okhdood

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Abha
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Match Events

18' Event
Arielson
Assist: Vada V.
34'
Al Lazam K.
43'
Borrell M.

AI Match Summary

Damac in this Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Damac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Damac
35%
Draws
32%
Al Okhdood
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Damac lately — more wins on the board than Al Okhdood.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Damac here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Damac Clean Sheet 19%
Al Okhdood Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Damac Al Okhdood
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 0.9 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Damac vs Al Okhdood
2:0
Dec 30, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Okhdood vs Damac
0:1
Feb 13, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Okhdood vs Damac
0:0
Sep 13, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Damac vs Al Okhdood
3:1
Apr 20, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Okhdood vs Damac
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Damac Compare

Top Goalscorer Arielson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vada V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Al Okhdood Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Damac 32 / 100
Al Okhdood 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Damac Al Okhdood

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Okhdood's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Damac stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Damac found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Damac VS Al Okhdood
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Damac

(Home)
14 Sept
Al Bukiryah
1 : 2
Damac
08 Sept
Damac
0 : 1
Al-Ula
02 Sept
Al Wehda
2 : 2
Damac
28 Aug
Damac
0 : 0
Al Orubah
23 Aug
Al Saqer
0 : 0
Damac
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Al Okhdood

(Away)
14 Sept
Al Wehda
4 : 2
Al Okhdood
07 Sept
Al Okhdood
2 : 2
Al Najma
31 Aug
Al Saqer
0 : 0
Al Okhdood
26 Aug
Al Bukiryah
1 : 1
Al Okhdood
22 Aug
Al Taee
0 : 2
Al Okhdood
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nassr 34 28 2 4 91:28 86
2 Al Hilal 34 25 9 0 85:27 84
3 Al Ahli SC 34 25 6 3 71:25 81
4 Al Qadsiah 34 23 8 3 83:34 77
5 Al Ittihad 34 16 7 11 55:48 55
6 Al Taawon 34 15 8 11 59:46 53
7 Al Ettifaq FC 34 14 8 12 51:55 50
8 Neom SC 34 12 9 13 43:48 45
9 Al Hazem Rass 34 11 9 14 38:57 42
10 Al Fayha 34 10 8 16 41:54 38
11 Al Fateh 34 9 10 15 41:55 37
12 Al Khaleej 34 10 7 17 54:62 37
13 Al Shabab 34 8 11 15 44:57 35
14 Al Kholood 34 9 6 19 39:61 33
15 Al Riyadh 34 7 9 18 35:63 30
16 Damac 34 6 11 17 32:55 29
17 Al Okhdood 34 5 5 24 27:70 20
18 Al Najma 34 3 7 24 32:76 16
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)