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Dangjin Citizen vs Daejeon Korail

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Song Min-Jong

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Dangjin Citizen and Daejeon Korail finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Daejeon Korail.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Dangjin Citizen
15%
Draws
37%
Daejeon Korail
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dangjin Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Dangjin Citizen haven't matched Daejeon Korail's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Dangjin Citizen a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Daejeon Korail here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Dangjin Citizen Clean Sheet 20%
Daejeon Korail Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dangjin Citizen Daejeon Korail
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 16
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.9 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Daejeon Korail
0:1
Mar 9, 2024 Korean Cup
Daejeon Korail vs Dangjin Citizen
3:1
Oct 29, 2022 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Daejeon Korail
0:1
Jun 3, 2022 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Dangjin Citizen
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dangjin Citizen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Daejeon Korail Compare

Top Goalscorer Song Min-Jong
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dangjin Citizen 85 / 100
Daejeon Korail 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dangjin Citizen Daejeon Korail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dangjin Citizen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dangjin Citizen scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Daejeon Korail conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Dangjin Citizen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dangjin Citizen VS Daejeon Korail
2.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dangjin Citizen

(Home)
13 Sept
Dangjin Citizen
5 : 3
Busan Kyotong
29 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
3 : 4
Chuncheon
22 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
1 : 2
Yeoju Citizen
19 Aug
Jeonbuk
2 : 3
Dangjin Citizen
29 Jul
Yeoju Citizen
0 : 1
Dangjin Citizen
Page 1 of 6

Daejeon Korail

(Away)
11 Sept
Daejeon Korail
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
05 Sept
Changwon
0 : 1
Daejeon Korail
29 Aug
Daejeon Korail
2 : 1
Yangpyeong
23 Aug
Siheung Citizen
2 : 0
Daejeon Korail
25 Jul
Pocheon
1 : 1
Daejeon Korail
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 22 16 4 2 35:19 52
2 Pocheon 22 13 6 3 38:19 45
3 Daejeon Korail 22 11 5 6 31:17 38
4 Busan Kyotong 22 10 7 5 39:26 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 22 8 8 6 32:29 32
6 Dangjin Citizen 22 9 4 9 44:36 31
7 Chuncheon 22 8 5 9 39:35 29
8 Ulsan Citizen 22 8 4 10 23:24 28
9 Gangneung 22 7 6 9 20:30 27
10 Changwon 22 6 8 8 24:27 26
11 Yeoju Citizen 22 6 7 9 24:28 25
12 Mokpo 22 4 9 9 19:35 21
13 Yangpyeong 22 3 8 11 27:43 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 22 1 7 14 22:49 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)