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Dangjin Citizen vs Daejeon Korail

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Song Min-Jong

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Dangjin Citizen and Daejeon Korail finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Daejeon Korail.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Dangjin Citizen
22%
Draws
18%
Daejeon Korail
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Dangjin Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Dangjin Citizen haven't matched Daejeon Korail's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Dangjin Citizen a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Daejeon Korail here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Dangjin Citizen Clean Sheet 12%
Daejeon Korail Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dangjin Citizen Daejeon Korail
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 9 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Daejeon Korail
0:1
Mar 9, 2024 Korean Cup
Daejeon Korail vs Dangjin Citizen
3:1
Oct 29, 2022 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Daejeon Korail
0:1
Jun 3, 2022 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Dangjin Citizen
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dangjin Citizen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Daejeon Korail Compare

Top Goalscorer Song Min-Jong
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dangjin Citizen 56 / 100
Daejeon Korail 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dangjin Citizen Daejeon Korail

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dangjin Citizen scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Dangjin Citizen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Daejeon Korail's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dangjin Citizen VS Daejeon Korail
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Changwon1767418:1625
6Dangjin Citizen1764727:2622
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 217161019:409