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De Graafschap U21 vs Groningen U21

Netherlands Netherlands

Divisie 1 U21 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Divisie 1 U21 2025/2026 game between De Graafschap U21 and Groningen U21 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward De Graafschap U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
De Graafschap U21
15%
Draws
37%
Groningen U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: De Graafschap U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Groningen U21 come out ahead of De Graafschap U21 on wins alone.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Divisie 1 U21 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Groningen U21 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
De Graafschap U21 Clean Sheet 11%
Groningen U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric De Graafschap U21 Groningen U21
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 16 20
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.74 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Divisie 1 U21
De Graafschap U21 vs Groningen U21
1:2
Jun 3, 2026 Divisie 1 U21
Groningen U21 vs De Graafschap U21
3:1
May 2, 2026 Divisie 1 U21
De Graafschap U21 vs Groningen U21
2:1
Feb 28, 2026 Divisie 1 U21
Groningen U21 vs De Graafschap U21
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Divisie 1 U21
De Graafschap U21 vs Groningen U21
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

De Graafschap U21 29 / 100
Groningen U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
De Graafschap U21 Groningen U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick De Graafschap U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

De Graafschap U21 scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Groningen U21 has conceded goals in 74% of their last 35 outings.

De Graafschap U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

De Graafschap U21 VS Groningen U21
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

De Graafschap U21

(Home)
19 Sept
Willem II U21
0 : 2
De Graafschap U21
12 Sept
De Graafschap U21
1 : 0
Cambuur U21
05 Sept
Zwolle U21
1 : 3
De Graafschap U21
29 Aug
De Graafschap U21
1 : 2
Groningen U21
03 Jun
Groningen U21
3 : 1
De Graafschap U21
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Groningen U21

(Away)
19 Sept
G.A. Eagles U21
2 : 2
Groningen U21
12 Sept
Groningen U21
0 : 3
Zwolle U21
05 Sept
Groningen U21
4 : 0
FC Twente/Heracles U21
29 Aug
De Graafschap U21
1 : 2
Groningen U21
10 Jun
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 2
Groningen U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 De Graafschap U21 14 9 2 3 31:16 29
2 Willem II U21 14 8 2 4 31:24 26
3 Feyenoord U21 14 7 1 6 30:22 22
4 FC Twente/Heracles U21 14 7 1 6 38:32 22
5 Cambuur U21 14 7 1 6 34:29 22
6 Groningen U21 14 6 2 6 22:27 20
7 Den Haag U21 14 5 1 8 26:35 16
8 Sittard U21 14 1 2 11 14:41 5
Promotion - Divisie 1 U21 2025/2026 (Play Offs)