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De Graafschap U21 vs Groningen U21

Netherlands Netherlands

Divisie 1 U21
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

De Graafschap U21 host Groningen U21 in the Divisie 1 U21. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: De Graafschap U21 at 2 goals for, 1.25 against; Groningen U21 at 1.75 for, 1.63 against. Head-to-head, De Graafschap U21 have won 1 to Groningen U21's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 3, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.50, favoring Groningen U21. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
De Graafschap U21
44%
Draws
20%
Groningen U21
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Groningen U21 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to De Graafschap U21.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Divisie 1 U21 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
De Graafschap U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Groningen U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric De Graafschap U21 Groningen U21
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 18
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Divisie 1 U21
Groningen U21 vs De Graafschap U21
3:1
May 2, 2026 Divisie 1 U21
De Graafschap U21 vs Groningen U21
2:1
Feb 28, 2026 Divisie 1 U21
Groningen U21 vs De Graafschap U21
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Divisie 1 U21
De Graafschap U21 vs Groningen U21
2:3
Sep 20, 2025 Divisie 1 U21
Groningen U21 vs De Graafschap U21
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

De Graafschap U21 36 / 100
Groningen U21 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
De Graafschap U21 Groningen U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

De Graafschap U21 scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Groningen U21 let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

De Graafschap U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Groningen U21 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

De Graafschap U21 VS Groningen U21
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1De Graafschap U211492331:1629
2Willem II U211482431:2426
3Feyenoord U211471630:2222
4FC Twente/Heracles U211471638:3222
5Cambuur U211471634:2922
6Groningen U211462622:2720
7Den Haag U211451826:3516
8Sittard U2114121114:415