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De Graafschap U21 vs Willem II U21

Netherlands Netherlands

Divisie 1 U21 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Divisie 1 U21 2025/2026 game between De Graafschap U21 and Willem II U21 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward De Graafschap U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
De Graafschap U21
15%
Draws
26%
Willem II U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: De Graafschap U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • De Graafschap U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on De Graafschap U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
De Graafschap U21 Clean Sheet 13%
Willem II U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric De Graafschap U21 Willem II U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.74 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Divisie 1 U21
Willem II U21 vs De Graafschap U21
0:2
May 9, 2026 Divisie 1 U21
Willem II U21 vs De Graafschap U21
2:1
Feb 7, 2026 Divisie 1 U21
De Graafschap U21 vs Willem II U21
4:1
Nov 8, 2025 Divisie 1 U21
Willem II U21 vs De Graafschap U21
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 Divisie 1 U21
De Graafschap U21 vs Willem II U21
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

De Graafschap U21 84 / 100
Willem II U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
De Graafschap U21 Willem II U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick De Graafschap U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: De Graafschap U21 scored in 94% of their last 31 outings.

Willem II U21 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

De Graafschap U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

De Graafschap U21 VS Willem II U21
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

De Graafschap U21

(Home)
19 Sept
Willem II U21
0 : 2
De Graafschap U21
12 Sept
De Graafschap U21
1 : 0
Cambuur U21
05 Sept
Zwolle U21
1 : 3
De Graafschap U21
29 Aug
De Graafschap U21
1 : 2
Groningen U21
03 Jun
Groningen U21
3 : 1
De Graafschap U21
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Willem II U21

(Away)
19 Sept
Willem II U21
0 : 2
De Graafschap U21
13 Sept
Willem II U21
2 : 3
Feyenoord U21
05 Sept
Cambuur U21
3 : 3
Willem II U21
29 Aug
Willem II U21
0 : 1
Zwolle U21
30 May
Willem II U21
3 : 2
FC Twente/Heracles U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 De Graafschap U21 14 9 2 3 31:16 29
2 Willem II U21 14 8 2 4 31:24 26
3 Feyenoord U21 14 7 1 6 30:22 22
4 FC Twente/Heracles U21 14 7 1 6 38:32 22
5 Cambuur U21 14 7 1 6 34:29 22
6 Groningen U21 14 6 2 6 22:27 20
7 Den Haag U21 14 5 1 8 26:35 16
8 Sittard U21 14 1 2 11 14:41 5
Promotion - Divisie 1 U21 2025/2026 (Play Offs)