Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Degerfors vs Djurgarden

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Stora Valla, Degerfors
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Ohlsson S.
43' Event
Hegland B.
Assist: Lien K.
58'
Sub
Dzabic R. In: Taranis A.
Out: Dzabic R.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Degerfors and Djurgarden finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Djurgarden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Degerfors
15%
Draws
68%
Djurgarden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Djurgarden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Djurgarden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Djurgarden a 68% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Djurgarden have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Degerfors Clean Sheet 13%
Djurgarden Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Degerfors Djurgarden
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 18
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.17 2.37
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Djurgarden
0:1
Mar 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Djurgarden vs Degerfors
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Djurgarden
1:1
Jul 6, 2025 Allsvenskan
Djurgarden vs Degerfors
5:1
Mar 10, 2024 Svenska Cupen
Djurgarden vs Degerfors
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Degerfors Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Djurgarden Compare

Top Goalscorer Hegland B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Degerfors 10 / 100
Djurgarden 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Degerfors Djurgarden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Djurgarden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:8
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Degerfors found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Djurgarden conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Degerfors stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Degerfors VS Djurgarden
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Degerfors

(Home)
20 Sept
Degerfors
0 : 1
Hammarby
14 Sept
Sirius
2 : 0
Degerfors
05 Sept
Degerfors
2 : 0
Halmstad
29 Aug
Elfsborg
2 : 0
Degerfors
23 Aug
Brommapojkarna
2 : 0
Degerfors
Page 1 of 6

Djurgarden

(Away)
20 Sept
Djurgarden
1 : 2
Elfsborg
14 Sept
Djurgarden
2 : 0
GAIS
10 Sept
Haninge
1 : 7
Djurgarden
07 Sept
Kalmar
0 : 1
Djurgarden
03 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 2
Djurgarden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)