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Stadium Background

Degerfors vs Djurgarden

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Stora Valla, Degerfors
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Ohlsson S.
43' Event
Hegland B.
Assist: Lien K.
58'
Sub
Dzabic R. In: Taranis A.
Out: Dzabic R.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Degerfors and Djurgarden finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Djurgarden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Degerfors
6%
Draws
90%
Djurgarden
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Djurgarden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Djurgarden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Djurgarden a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Djurgarden have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Degerfors Clean Sheet 10%
Djurgarden Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Degerfors Djurgarden
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.25 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Djurgarden
0:1
Mar 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Djurgarden vs Degerfors
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Djurgarden
1:1
Jul 6, 2025 Allsvenskan
Djurgarden vs Degerfors
5:1
Mar 10, 2024 Svenska Cupen
Djurgarden vs Degerfors
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Degerfors Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Djurgarden Compare

Top Goalscorer Hegland B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Degerfors 10 / 100
Djurgarden 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Degerfors Djurgarden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DJU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:8
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Degerfors found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Djurgarden has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Degerfors stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Degerfors VS Djurgarden
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Degerfors

(Home)
25 Jul
Degerfors
0 : 1
Djurgarden
19 Jul
Hammarby
4 : 0
Degerfors
12 Jul
Vasteras SK
2 : 0
Degerfors
04 Jul
Degerfors
0 : 1
Malmo FF
26 Jun
Lillestrom
2 : 3
Degerfors
Page 1 of 6

Djurgarden

(Away)
25 Jul
Degerfors
0 : 1
Djurgarden
20 Jul
Orgryte
0 : 0
Djurgarden
13 Jul
Djurgarden
3 : 0
Halmstad
06 Jul
Hacken
2 : 4
Djurgarden
26 Jun
Sirius
1 : 1
Djurgarden
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sirius13112036:1635
2Hammarby1482432:1426
3Djurgarden1372427:1523
4Hacken1365227:2223
5Vasteras SK1464424:2322
6AIK1363418:1821
7Malmo FF1362527:2220
8GAIS1454518:1419
9Elfsborg1446418:1718
10Mjallby1445520:1917
11Kalmar1452718:2017
12Brommapojkarna1344518:2116
13IFK Goteborg1334616:2913
14Degerfors1424812:2410
15Orgryte1424814:3310
16Halmstad1313910:286
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)