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Deinze vs Lierse SK

Belgium Belgium

Challenger Pro League 2024/2025 Dakota Arena, Deinze
Sat, Apr 5, 2025
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Deinze host Lierse SK in the Challenger Pro League 2024/2025. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Deinze at 1.14 goals for, 1.64 against; Lierse SK at 1.23 for, 1.26 against. Past meetings favor Deinze slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.04 - 1.24) back Deinze to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Deinze
30%
Draws
39%
Lierse SK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lierse SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lierse SK come out ahead of Deinze on wins alone.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Deinze taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Deinze here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Deinze Clean Sheet 19%
Lierse SK Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deinze Lierse SK
Matches Played 14 31
Wins 5 9
Draws 2 8
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.14 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Deinze vs Lierse SK
0:0
Sep 1, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs Deinze
0:1
Jan 19, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Deinze vs Lierse SK
4:0
Oct 8, 2023 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs Deinze
0:1
Nov 20, 2022 Challenger Pro League
Deinze vs Lierse SK
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deinze 58 / 100
Lierse SK 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deinze Lierse SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deinze Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Deinze scored in 71% of their last 14 outings.

Lierse SK has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Deinze went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lierse SK
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Deinze

(Home)
06 Dec
Deinze
0 : 1
RFC Seraing
30 Nov
RFC Liege
3 : 0
Deinze
23 Nov
Deinze
0 : 3
Francs Borains
09 Nov
Lommel SK
1 : 1
Deinze
03 Nov
Deinze
3 : 1
SK Beveren
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Lierse SK

(Away)
11 Sept
Beerschot VA
3 : 1
Lierse SK
06 Sept
Lierse SK
0 : 0
RFC Liege
30 Aug
RFC Seraing
1 : 1
Lierse SK
22 Aug
Lierse SK
2 : 1
Patro Eisden
15 Aug
Virton
3 : 0
Lierse SK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Waregem 28 18 5 5 55:30 59
2 RAAL La Louviere 28 17 8 3 50:24 59
3 RWDM Brussels 28 17 6 5 42:21 57
4 SK Beveren 28 14 9 5 41:27 51
5 Patro Eisden 28 13 10 5 51:28 49
6 Club Brugge U23 28 14 5 9 46:35 47
7 Sporting Lokeren 28 12 5 11 32:35 41
8 Lierse SK 28 11 7 10 40:35 40
9 RFC Liege 28 9 7 12 38:44 34
10 Eupen 28 8 6 14 38:47 30
11 Lommel SK 28 8 5 15 32:46 29
12 Francs Borains 28 8 4 16 29:50 28
13 Anderlecht U23 28 5 8 15 41:54 23
14 RFC Seraing 28 3 10 15 28:55 19
15 Genk U23 28 3 5 20 30:62 14
16 Deinze 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Main)
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Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2024/2025 (Relegation)