Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dekedda vs Jubba

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Dekedda and Jubba finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dekedda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Dekedda
6%
Draws
4%
Jubba
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dekedda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dekedda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Dekedda a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Dekedda Clean Sheet 20%
Jubba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dekedda Jubba
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 16 2
Draws 7 0
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 2.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 5.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 5.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 National league
Jubba vs Dekedda
1:7
May 4, 2026 National league
Dekedda vs Jubba
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dekedda 85 / 100
Jubba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dekedda Jubba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dekedda found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Jubba conceded in 90% of 20 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Dekedda remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dekedda VS Jubba
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 5.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Dekedda

(Home)
21 Jul
Dekedda
2 : 1
Horseed
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
12 Jul
Jubba
1 : 7
Dekedda
06 Jul
Raadsan
3 : 6
Dekedda
30 Jun
Dekedda
0 : 0
Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 6

Jubba

(Away)
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
16 Jul
Raadsan
8 : 2
Jubba
12 Jul
Jubba
1 : 7
Dekedda
08 Jul
Jubba
0 : 4
Mogadishu City
02 Jul
Jazeera
4 : 2
Jubba
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gaadiidka19135151:1544
2Heegan20135249:1644
3Dekedda20117246:2140
4Mogadishu City19116236:1239
5Elman20113633:1536
6Horseed2098338:1935
7Badbaado19621137:3320
8Jazeera1955938:3820
9Jeenyo2048830:3020
10Raadsan19421330:5014
11Jubba20201815:886
12Gantaalaha Afgooye17111516:824
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)