Sport Picks

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Dekedda vs Jubba

Somalia Somalia

National league
Dekedda Logo

Dekedda

4 - 1
FT
Jubba Logo

Jubba

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Dekedda and Jubba finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dekedda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Dekedda
15%
Draws
0%
Jubba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dekedda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Dekedda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Dekedda a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Dekedda Clean Sheet 20%
Jubba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dekedda Jubba
Matches Played 31 22
Wins 17 2
Draws 8 0
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 2.13 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.29 4.36
Expected Goals (xG) 3.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 National league
Jubba vs Dekedda
1:7
May 4, 2026 National league
Dekedda vs Jubba
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dekedda 85 / 100
Jubba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dekedda Jubba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dekedda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jubba conceded in 91% of 22 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Dekedda remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Jubba has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dekedda VS Jubba
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 5.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Dekedda

(Home)
14 Aug
Gaadiidka
0 : 0
Dekedda
09 Aug
Dekedda
5 : 2
Gantaalaha Afgooye
21 Jul
Dekedda
2 : 1
Horseed
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
12 Jul
Jubba
1 : 7
Dekedda
Page 1 of 7

Jubba

(Away)
12 Aug
Jubba
1 : 5
Gantaalaha Afgooye
08 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Jubba
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
16 Jul
Raadsan
8 : 2
Jubba
12 Jul
Jubba
1 : 7
Dekedda
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)