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Democrata SL vs Villa Nova AC

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Marcelo Macola
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Democrata SL in this Mineiro 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Democrata SL.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Democrata SL
28%
Draws
50%
Villa Nova AC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Villa Nova AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Democrata SL have won more games recently than Villa Nova AC.
  • Win probability leans Villa Nova AC's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Mineiro 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Villa Nova AC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Democrata SL Clean Sheet 16%
Villa Nova AC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Democrata SL Villa Nova AC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.88 2
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 Mineiro 2
Democrata SL vs Villa Nova AC
1:0
Jun 21, 2026 Mineiro 2
Villa Nova AC vs Democrata SL
2:1
Feb 4, 2023 Mineiro
Democrata SL vs Villa Nova AC
0:1
Jul 17, 2021 Mineiro 2
Villa Nova AC vs Democrata SL
2:1
Feb 28, 2008 Mineiro
Villa Nova AC vs Democrata SL
5:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Democrata SL 23 / 100
Villa Nova AC 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Democrata SL Villa Nova AC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Democrata SL found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Villa Nova AC let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Democrata SL stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Democrata SL VS Villa Nova AC
1.88 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uberaba1072117:923
2Boa1052312:917
3Mamore103348:912
4Patrocinense103349:912
5Guarani-MG1033412:1412
6Caldense101366:146
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Valeriodoce105509:420
2Democrata SL1052319:1017
3Aymores1044217:916
4Villa Nova AC1042417:1214
5Coimbra Esporte Clube1024412:1210
6Ipatinga101186:33-2