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Den Haag vs Groningen

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie WerkTalent Stadion, Den Haag
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
VS
10:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Den Haag host Groningen in the Eredivisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Den Haag have averaged 3.25 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Groningen's 1.38 scored and 1.75 conceded. Head-to-head, Den Haag have won 1 to Groningen's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2024, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 2.50 vs 1.06, favoring Den Haag. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Den Haag
6%
Draws
4%
Groningen
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Den Haag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Groningen haven't matched Den Haag's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Den Haag taking it.
  • Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Den Haag Clean Sheet 20%
Groningen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Den Haag Groningen
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 21 9
Draws 1 5
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 3.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Den Haag vs Groningen
0:2
Sep 15, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Groningen vs Den Haag
0:1
Jan 26, 2021 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Den Haag
3:0
Sep 20, 2020 Eredivisie
Den Haag vs Groningen
0:1
May 3, 2020 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Den Haag
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Den Haag 85 / 100
Groningen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Den Haag Groningen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Den Haag scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Den Haag remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Groningen has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Groningen lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Den Haag VS Groningen
3.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Den Haag

(Home)
24 Jul
Lommel SK
0 : 4
Den Haag
18 Jul
KV Mechelen
2 : 3
Den Haag
07 Jul
Westlands Elftal
0 : 6
Den Haag
04 Jul
Laakkwartier
1 : 5
Den Haag
24 Apr
Den Bosch
1 : 3
Den Haag
Page 1 of 6

Groningen

(Away)
24 Jul
Groningen
0 : 4
FC Volendam
18 Jul
Groningen
1 : 2
AEK
11 Jul
Groningen
3 : 2
FC Emmen
08 Jul
Heracles
2 : 1
Groningen
21 May
Ajax
2 : 0
Groningen
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cambuur00000:00
2Sittard00000:00
3Telstar00000:00
4Zwolle00000:00
5PSV00000:00
6Ajax00000:00
7Twente00000:00
8Heerenveen00000:00
9Feyenoord00000:00
10Nijmegen00000:00
11Utrecht00000:00
12AZ Alkmaar00000:00
13Sparta Rotterdam00000:00
14Willem II00000:00
15Excelsior00000:00
16Den Haag00000:00
17G.A. Eagles00000:00
18Groningen00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)