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Den Haag vs Zwolle

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Vlak J.
60'
Sub
Nikiema K. In: Kramer C.
Out: Nikiema K.
60'
Sub
Vlak J. In: de Bruin F.
Out: Vlak J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Den Haag and Zwolle finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Den Haag.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Den Haag
30%
Draws
47%
Zwolle
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zwolle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Den Haag come out ahead of Zwolle on wins alone.
  • Den Haag are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Den Haag here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Den Haag Clean Sheet 13%
Zwolle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Den Haag Zwolle
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 25 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 3.72 1.2
Goals Conceded 1 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Den Haag vs Zwolle
3:0
Feb 17, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Den Haag vs Zwolle
3:1
Sep 16, 2022 Eerste Divisie
Zwolle vs Den Haag
1:2
May 9, 2021 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs Den Haag
0:1
Dec 23, 2020 Eredivisie
Den Haag vs Zwolle
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Den Haag Compare

Top Goalscorer Bal J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vlak J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Zwolle Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Den Haag 57 / 100
Zwolle 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Den Haag Zwolle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Den Haag Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Den Haag's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Zwolle let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Zwolle registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Den Haag VS Zwolle
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Den Haag

(Home)
19 Sept
Den Haag
1 : 1
Cambuur
12 Sept
Twente
2 : 0
Den Haag
06 Sept
Den Haag
2 : 3
Sittard
30 Aug
Feyenoord
2 : 2
Den Haag
23 Aug
G.A. Eagles
3 : 1
Den Haag
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Zwolle

(Away)
18 Sept
Groningen
3 : 0
Zwolle
13 Sept
Zwolle
0 : 7
Feyenoord
04 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2
Zwolle
29 Aug
Zwolle
1 : 3
Nijmegen
22 Aug
Heerenveen
0 : 2
Zwolle
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