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Dender vs Royale Union SG

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup Dender Football Complex, Denderleeuw
Dender Logo

Dender

0 - 2
FT
Royale Union SG Logo

Royale Union SG

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
David P.
Assist: Florucz R.
40' Event
Van De Perre K.
Assist: Ait El Hadj A.
60'
Sub
David P. In: Biondic M.
Out: David P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Royale Union SG in this Belgian Cup tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Dender
44%
Draws
20%
Royale Union SG
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Royale Union SG lately — more wins on the board than Dender.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Royale Union SG arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Royale Union SG, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Royale Union SG have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dender Clean Sheet 10%
Royale Union SG Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dender Royale Union SG
Matches Played 26 32
Wins 6 22
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 0.5 3
Goals Conceded 0.83 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.83 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Royale Union SG vs Dender
2:0
Jan 14, 2026 Belgian Cup
Dender vs Royale Union SG
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Dender vs Royale Union SG
0:1
Mar 1, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Royale Union SG vs Dender
4:1
Oct 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Royale Union SG vs Dender
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dender Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Royale Union SG Compare

Top Goalscorer David P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Van De Perre K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dender 34 / 100
Royale Union SG 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dender Royale Union SG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dender scored in 73% of their last 26 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Royale Union SG's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 32 matches.

Solid form: Dender remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dender VS Royale Union SG
0.5 Goals Scored 3
0.83 Goals Conceded 1
33% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 88%
17% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dender

(Home)
23 May
Dender
0 : 0
Lommel SK
17 May
Lommel SK
3 : 2
Dender
09 May
Waregem
2 : 1
Dender
03 May
Dender
2 : 1
RAAL La Louviere
24 Apr
Cercle Brugge
2 : 1
Dender
Page 1 of 6

Royale Union SG

(Away)
25 Jul
Royale Union SG
2 : 1
Lille
24 Jul
Royale Union SG
4 : 0
Patro Eisden
18 Jul
PSV
7 : 3
Royale Union SG
11 Jul
Royale Union SG
2 : 1
Aarhus
05 Jul
Royale Union SG
4 : 0
FCSB
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
RFC Liege0
Charleroi1
KV Mechelen2
Lierse SK1
RFC Seraing1
Leuven3
Club Brugge6
Eendracht Aalst1
Dender4
OC Charleroi2
SK Beveren1
St. Liege2
Tubize-Braine0
Royale Union SG3
Belisia Bilzen1
Waregem4
Genk3
RWDM Brussels0
Ninove0
Anderlecht2
Cercle Brugge1
Kortrijk0
Gent5
Patro Eisden0
Antwerp3
Eupen1
Knokke0
St. Truiden1
Beerschot VA3
Westerlo2
Heist1
RAAL La Louviere2
1/8-finals
Charleroi2
KV Mechelen0
Leuven1
Club Brugge2
Dender3
St. Liege2
Royale Union SG2
Waregem1
Genk1
Anderlecht3
Cercle Brugge1
Gent3
Antwerp4
St. Truiden3
Beerschot VA1
RAAL La Louviere2
Quarter-finals
Charleroi2
Club Brugge0
Dender0
Royale Union SG2
Anderlecht1
Gent0
Antwerp2
RAAL La Louviere1
Semi-finals
Charleroi1
Royale Union SG4
Anderlecht4
Antwerp1
Final
Royale Union SG3
Anderlecht1