Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu vs Nazillispor

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu play Nazillispor in the Turkish Cup. Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu are favorites here. Recently, Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Nazillispor averaged 0.23 goals scored and 3.93 conceded. In past meetings, Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu won 2, Nazillispor won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 17, 2026 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.69 for Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu and 0.63 for Nazillispor. This points to a Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
21%
Draws
12%
Nazillispor
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu picked up more points recently compared to Nazillispor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.69 vs 0.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 86%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27%
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu Clean Sheet 29%
Nazillispor Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu Nazillispor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 0
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 26
Goals Scored 1.13 0.23
Goals Conceded 1.1 3.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 6.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu vs Nazillispor
6:0
Sep 13, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Nazillispor vs Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
1:1
Sep 3, 2025 Turkish Cup
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu vs Nazillispor
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu Compare

Top Goalscorer Cirit A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torun M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Nazillispor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.12
Avg xA / game 0.07

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 66 / 100
Nazillispor 13 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu Nazillispor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu attacking → ← attacking Nazillispor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Nazillispor let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Nazillispor lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 4
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.13
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 6.63