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Dep. Cali W vs Llaneros W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women 2024 Estadio Deportivo Cali
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dep. Cali W play Llaneros W in the Liga Women 2024. Dep. Cali W are favorites here. Recently, Dep. Cali W averaged 1.7 goals scored and 0.52 conceded. Llaneros W averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Dep. Cali W won 5, Llaneros W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 15, 2026 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Dep. Cali W and 0.56 for Llaneros W. This points to a Dep. Cali W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Dep. Cali W
15%
Draws
22%
Llaneros W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dep. Cali W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Dep. Cali W picked up more points recently compared to Llaneros W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 0.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Dep. Cali W Clean Sheet 30%
Llaneros W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Cali W Llaneros W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 21 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 1.7 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.52 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Liga Women
Llaneros W vs Dep. Cali W
0:5
Jul 7, 2024 Liga Women
Llaneros W vs Dep. Cali W
0:1
Jun 15, 2024 Liga Women
Dep. Cali W vs Llaneros W
3:1
Mar 18, 2024 Liga Women
Dep. Cali W vs Llaneros W
3:0
Apr 16, 2023 Liga Women
Dep. Cali W vs Llaneros W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Cali W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guerra I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Llaneros W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Cali W 63 / 100
Llaneros W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Cali W Llaneros W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Cali W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Dep. Cali W & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.82
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dep. Cali W attacking → ← attacking Llaneros W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Cali W scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Llaneros W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Dep. Cali W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Llaneros W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

70 Points in last 5 29
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Indep. Santa Fe W641111:713
2Atl. Nacional W62319:79
3Alianza W62138:97
4Ind. Medellin W61147:124
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dep. Cali W64029:512
2Millonarios W640211:812
3America de Cali W63038:89
4Llaneros W61056:133