Sport Picks

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Dep. Santo Domingo vs Independiente Juniors

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Folke Anderson, Esmeraldas
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Farfan J.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Dep. Santo Domingo and Independiente Juniors finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dep. Santo Domingo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Dep. Santo Domingo
30%
Draws
34%
Independiente Juniors
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dep. Santo Domingo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Dep. Santo Domingo haven't matched Independiente Juniors's recent run of results.
  • Dep. Santo Domingo are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Dep. Santo Domingo Clean Sheet 68%
Independiente Juniors Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Santo Domingo Independiente Juniors
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Serie B
Dep. Santo Domingo vs Independiente Juniors
1:0
Apr 16, 2026 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs Dep. Santo Domingo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Santo Domingo Compare

Top Goalscorer Farfan J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Independiente Juniors Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Santo Domingo 46 / 100
Independiente Juniors 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Santo Domingo Independiente Juniors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dep. Santo Domingo scored in 62% of their last 26 outings.

Independiente Juniors let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Dep. Santo Domingo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Santo Domingo VS Independiente Juniors
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Santo Domingo

(Home)
25 Jul
LDU Portoviejo
1 : 0
Dep. Santo Domingo
17 Jul
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 1
CD Cuenca Juniors
11 Jul
San Antonio
1 : 1
Dep. Santo Domingo
08 Jul
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 2
Independiente del Valle
03 Jul
Dep. Santo Domingo
1 : 0
Independiente Juniors
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Independiente Juniors

(Away)
23 Jul
Independiente Juniors
2 : 0
Vinotinto
17 Jul
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 1
Independiente Juniors
11 Jul
Independiente Juniors
0 : 0
Atletico FC
09 Jul
Independiente Juniors
1 : 2
LDU Quito
03 Jul
Dep. Santo Domingo
1 : 0
Independiente Juniors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1897220:1134
2Independiente Juniors1887320:1131
3Atletico FC18710121:1331
4CD Cuenca Juniors1886419:1830
5Vinotinto1875623:1626
6Cumbaya1858519:1623
7LDU Portoviejo1864815:2122
8San Antonio1849520:2021
9Gualaceo1867513:1119
10Dep. Santo Domingo1857613:1319
1122 de Julio1843119:239
12EL Nacional18051310:292
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)