Sport Picks

Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Folke Anderson, Esmeraldas

Nueve de Octubre

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dep. Santo Domingo host Nueve de Octubre in the Serie B. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Nueve de Octubre have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Dep. Santo Domingo have conceded 0.63 and scored 0.38. Head-to-head, Dep. Santo Domingo have won 0 to Nueve de Octubre's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.63 xG vs 0.88) point toward Nueve de Octubre. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Dep. Santo Domingo

33%

Draws

40%

Nueve de Octubre

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Nueve de Octubre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Nueve de Octubre come out ahead of Dep. Santo Domingo on wins alone.
Win probability leans Nueve de Octubre's way, sitting at 40%.
Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%

Dep. Santo Domingo Clean Sheet 20%

Nueve de Octubre Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dep. Santo Domingo	Nueve de Octubre
Matches Played	26	30
Wins	10	13
Draws	7	10
Losses	9	7
Goals Scored	0.38	1.13
Goals Conceded	0.63	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.38	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Serie B

Nueve de Octubre vs Dep. Santo Domingo

1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Santo Domingo 28 / 100

Nueve de Octubre 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dep. Santo Domingo Nueve de Octubre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NUE Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Santo Domingo's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Nueve de Octubre let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Dep. Santo Domingo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Santo Domingo VS Nueve de Octubre

0.38 Goals Scored 1.13

0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88

25% Over 1.5 50%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History