Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportes Iquique W vs S. Morning W

Chile Chile

Primera Division Women 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Deportes Iquique W play S. Morning W in the Primera Division Women 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Deportes Iquique W averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. S. Morning W averaged 1.23 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Deportes Iquique W won 3, S. Morning W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 7, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.56 for Deportes Iquique W and 1.25 for S. Morning W. This points to a Deportes Iquique W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Deportes Iquique W
17%
Draws
34%
S. Morning W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Deportes Iquique W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Deportes Iquique W picked up more points recently compared to S. Morning W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.56 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Deportes Iquique W Clean Sheet 19%
S. Morning W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportes Iquique W S. Morning W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.19 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.07
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 Primera Division Women
S. Morning W vs Deportes Iquique W
0:0
Apr 19, 2025 Primera Division Women
Deportes Iquique W vs S. Morning W
4:2
Nov 6, 2024 Primera Division Women
S. Morning W vs Deportes Iquique W
0:1
Nov 2, 2024 Primera Division Women
Deportes Iquique W vs S. Morning W
4:3
Jul 7, 2024 Primera Division Women
Deportes Iquique W vs S. Morning W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportes Iquique W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cubillos K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Contreras J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

S. Morning W Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cisternas Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Iquique W 48 / 100
S. Morning W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportes Iquique W S. Morning W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Deportes Iquique W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Deportes Iquique W attacking → ← attacking S. Morning W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportes Iquique W scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

S. Morning W let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Deportes Iquique W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

S. Morning W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 34
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colo Colo W262600133:578
2U. De Chile W26212375:2165
3U. Espanola W26156541:2151
4Coquimbo W26155657:2950
5U. Catolica W26143960:2545
6Deportes Iquique W26136742:2645
7Huachipato W261131234:4936
8Palestino W26951240:4332
9S. Wanderers W26971040:4528
10S. Morning W26941329:5228
11U. De Concepcion W26461624:5518
12Recoleta W26431914:8115
13Everton W26351819:6914
14A. Italiano W26032319:1063