Sport Picks
Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal Joaquín Muñoz García 
AI Match Summary
Deportes Santa Cruz play San Marcos de Arica in the Liga de Ascenso. It looks like a close match. Recently, Deportes Santa Cruz averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. San Marcos de Arica averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Deportes Santa Cruz won 3, San Marcos de Arica won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 20, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Deportes Santa Cruz and 0.94 for San Marcos de Arica. This points to a San Marcos de Arica double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Deportes Santa Cruz picked up more points recently compared to San Marcos de Arica.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 0.94 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportes Santa Cruz | San Marcos de Arica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Deportes Santa Cruz scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
San Marcos de Arica let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Deportes Santa Cruz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
San Marcos de Arica lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30:17 | 29 |
| 2 | S. Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 29:18 | 26 |
| 3 | San Marcos de Arica | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 19:11 | 25 |
| 4 | Deportes Temuco | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 26:18 | 23 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 6 | San Luis | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24:21 | 23 |
| 7 | D. Puerto Montt | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:16 | 23 |
| 8 | U. Espanola | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | 22 |
| 9 | Magallanes | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24:24 | 22 |
| 10 | Recoleta | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24:24 | 22 |
| 11 | Copiapo | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:23 | 22 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 16:24 | 18 |
| 13 | San Felipe | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13:27 | 16 |
| 14 | Deportes Iquique | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19:23 | 13 |
| 15 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 19:26 | 12 |
| 16 | Rangers | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11:28 | 3 |