Sport Picks
Deportes Tolima vs Dep. Cali
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibagué 
Match Events
12'
12'
Valencia E.
(Penalty)
17'
17'
Valencia J.
21'
21'
Aguilar F.
AI Match Summary
The Primera A game between Deportes Tolima and Dep. Cali finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dep. Cali
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Deportes Tolima come out ahead of Dep. Cali on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Dep. Cali's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Deportes Tolima Clean Sheet 18%
Dep. Cali Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Dep. Cali |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 0.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Dep. Cali
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Dep. Cali
2:1
May 3, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Deportes Tolima
1:1
Sep 7, 2024 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Dep. Cali
1:1
Feb 27, 2024 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Deportes Tolima
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportes Tolima 10 / 100
Dep. Cali 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportes Tolima Dep. Cali
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Deportes Tolima found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Dep. Cali let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Deportes Tolima remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Deportes Tolima VS Dep. Cali
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportes Tolima
(Home) 27 May
Universitario de Deportes
0 : 0 Deportes Tolima
23 May
Atl. Nacional
3 : 1 Deportes Tolima
19 May
Coquimbo
3 : 0 Deportes Tolima
16 May
Deportes Tolima
0 : 1 Atl. Nacional
13 May
Dep. Pasto
0 : 2 Deportes Tolima
Page 1 of 6
16 May
Deportes Tolima
0 : 1 Atl. Nacional
09 May
Deportes Tolima
1 : 0 Dep. Pasto
07 May
Deportes Tolima
3 : 0 Club Nacional
03 May
Deportes Tolima
1 : 1 Dep. Cali
29 Apr
Deportes Tolima
3 : 0 Coquimbo
Page 1 of 4
Dep. Cali
(Away) 12 Jul
A. Lima
0 : 2 Dep. Cali
24 May
Real Santander
1 : 2 Dep. Cali
21 May
Dep. Cali
1 : 0 Alianza
15 May
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 5 Dep. Cali
11 May
Dep. Cali
2 : 0 Bucaramanga
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
A. Lima
0 : 2 Dep. Cali
24 May
Real Santander
1 : 2 Dep. Cali
15 May
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 5 Dep. Cali
03 May
Deportes Tolima
1 : 1 Dep. Cali
17 Apr
Chico
1 : 0 Dep. Cali
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America De Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Inter Bogotá | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Ind. Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Aguilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Dep. Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | 10 |
Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs)