Sport Picks
Deportes Tolima vs Inter Bogotá
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibagué 
Match Events
12'
12'
Parra Osorio A.
Assist: Hurtado J.
24'
24'
Hurtado J.
35'
35'
Sub
Hurtado J. In: Martinez Yepez H. E.
Out: Hurtado J.
AI Match Summary
Deportes Tolima in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportes Tolima.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Deportes Tolima lately — more wins on the board than Inter Bogotá.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Deportes Tolima here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Deportes Tolima Clean Sheet 68%
Inter Bogotá Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Inter Bogotá |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Inter Bogotá
2:1
Feb 2, 2026 Primera A
Inter Bogotá vs Deportes Tolima
0:0
Oct 20, 2025 Primera A
Inter Bogotá vs Deportes Tolima
0:2
Apr 26, 2025 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Inter Bogotá
2:1
Aug 10, 2024 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Inter Bogotá
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportes Tolima Compare
Top Goalscorer Parra Osorio A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Valencia E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Inter Bogotá Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanguinetti F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportes Tolima 41 / 100
Inter Bogotá 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportes Tolima Inter Bogotá
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Deportes Tolima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Deportes Tolima scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Inter Bogotá's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Deportes Tolima stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Deportes Tolima VS Inter Bogotá
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportes Tolima
(Home) 20 Sept
Deportes Tolima
1 : 1 America De Cali
16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0 Deportes Tolima
12 Sept
Santa Fe
1 : 0 Deportes Tolima
07 Sept
Llaneros
1 : 2 Deportes Tolima
01 Sept
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1 Cucuta
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Deportes Tolima
1 : 1 America De Cali
01 Sept
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1 Cucuta
22 Aug
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0 Bucaramanga
19 Aug
Deportes Tolima
0 : 1 Independiente del Valle
08 Aug
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1 Inter Bogotá
Page 1 of 4
Inter Bogotá
(Away) 20 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 0 Inter Bogotá
17 Sept
Inter Bogotá
2 : 3 Atl. Nacional
12 Sept
Inter Bogotá
3 : 2 Llaneros
09 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
1 : 2 Inter Bogotá
06 Sept
Inter Bogotá
2 : 2 Aguilas Doradas
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 0 Inter Bogotá
09 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
1 : 2 Inter Bogotá
30 Aug
Millonarios
0 : 0 Inter Bogotá
23 Aug
Dep. Cali
2 : 2 Inter Bogotá
19 Aug
Cucuta
1 : 1 Inter Bogotá
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America De Cali | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22:6 | 24 |
| 2 | Millonarios | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:11 | 19 |
| 4 | Atl. Nacional | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:8 | 18 |
| 5 | Dep. Cali | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 18 |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:11 | 17 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:11 | 16 |
| 9 | Llaneros | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Aguilas Doradas | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 12 | Inter Bogotá | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 13 | Cucuta | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:18 | 9 |
| 14 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 15 | Dep. Pasto | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Alianza | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:20 | 8 |
| 17 | Chico | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:18 | 8 |
| 18 | Dep. Pereira | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | 7 |
| 19 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 20 | Junior | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:14 | 6 |
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)
