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Deportiva Venados vs Apodaca

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Rodriguez J.
60' Event
Ramirez J. S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Premier Serie A matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Deportiva Venados
22%
Draws
18%
Apodaca
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Deportiva Venados

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Deportiva Venados haven't matched Apodaca's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Deportiva Venados's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Deportiva Venados Clean Sheet 68%
Apodaca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportiva Venados Apodaca
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 22
Draws 7 4
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 2.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Apodaca vs Deportiva Venados
2:4
Apr 30, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Deportiva Venados vs Apodaca
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportiva Venados Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Apodaca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportiva Venados 68 / 100
Apodaca 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportiva Venados Apodaca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportiva Venados found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Deportiva Venados has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Apodaca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportiva Venados VS Apodaca
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Racing de Veracruz-
TBD-
Tigres de Alica2
Halcones de Zapopan3
Alacranes de Durango-
TBD-
FC Santiago3
Zacatepec4
Deportiva Venados3
Calor De San Pedro1
Tapachula1
Tritones Vallarta2
Apodaca-
TBD-
Tecos0
Inter Playa Del Carmen2
Quarter-finals
Racing de Veracruz0
Halcones de Zapopan2
Alacranes de Durango3
Zacatepec3
Deportiva Venados2
Tritones Vallarta1
Apodaca3
Inter Playa Del Carmen1
Semi-finals
Halcones de Zapopan1
Alacranes de Durango2
Deportiva Venados5
Apodaca3
Final
Alacranes de Durango1
Deportiva Venados2