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Deportiva Venados vs Reboceros de La Piedad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Tue, Nov 24, 2026
VS
02:05 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Deportiva Venados host Reboceros de La Piedad in the Primera Premier. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Deportiva Venados have averaged 1.88 scored and 1.28 conceded recently, against Reboceros de La Piedad's 1.66 scored and 2.17 conceded. Past meetings favor Deportiva Venados slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 3, 2024, ending 4:1. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 2.00) point toward Deportiva Venados. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Deportiva Venados
15%
Draws
26%
Reboceros de La Piedad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportiva Venados

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportiva Venados come out ahead of Reboceros de La Piedad on wins alone.
  • Model gives Deportiva Venados a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Deportiva Venados Clean Sheet 10%
Reboceros de La Piedad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportiva Venados Reboceros de La Piedad
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 9 1
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.88 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.28 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Reboceros de La Piedad vs Deportiva Venados
4:1
Sep 30, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Deportiva Venados vs Reboceros de La Piedad
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportiva Venados 83 / 100
Reboceros de La Piedad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportiva Venados Reboceros de La Piedad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportiva Venados Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportiva Venados's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Reboceros de La Piedad has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Deportiva Venados has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Deportiva Venados VS Reboceros de La Piedad
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportiva Venados

(Home)
07 Nov
Deportiva Venados
1 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
01 Nov
Irapuato
2 : 1
Deportiva Venados
24 Oct
Deportiva Venados
3 : 1
Tigres de Alica
20 Oct
Tapachula
1 : 4
Deportiva Venados
10 Oct
Deportiva Venados
1 : 4
Pioneros
Page 1 of 7

Reboceros de La Piedad

(Away)
07 Nov
Pioneros
1 : 0
Reboceros de La Piedad
31 Oct
Reboceros de La Piedad
1 : 2
Inter Playa Del Carmen
25 Oct
Jaguares De Chiapas
3 : 2
Reboceros de La Piedad
17 Oct
Tigres de Alica
4 : 0
Reboceros de La Piedad
10 Oct
Reboceros de La Piedad
2 : 1
Los Cabos United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 10 10 0 0 23:6 31
2 Tigres de Alica 11 5 3 3 19:12 18
3 Lobos ULMX 10 4 2 4 13:13 15
4 Reboceros de La Piedad 10 5 0 5 15:16 15
5 Zacatepec 10 4 2 4 13:16 15
6 Cordobes FC 10 3 2 5 9:14 10
7 Los Cabos United 10 3 1 6 9:15 10
8 Purepechas 9 2 2 5 6:10 8
9 Tritones Vallarta 9 1 3 5 8:12 6
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 10 6 3 1 24:9 23
2 Pioneros 10 6 2 2 21:10 21
3 Celaya 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
4 Jaguares De Chiapas 10 4 3 3 11:10 16
5 Deportiva Venados 10 3 3 4 19:18 13
6 Chapulineros 10 3 4 3 13:17 13
7 Montaneses 11 4 1 6 15:21 12
8 Inter Playa Del Carmen 10 2 1 7 10:20 7
9 Tapachula 10 2 0 8 11:28 6
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)