Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportivo Aleman vs Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Nacional B 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Deportivo Aleman
6%
Draws
90%
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz have won more games recently than Deportivo Aleman.
  • Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Nacional B 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Deportivo Aleman Clean Sheet 10%
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Aleman Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 20
Draws 5 2
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.75 2.5
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz vs Deportivo Aleman
4:0
Nov 5, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Deportivo Aleman vs Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
0:3
Oct 15, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Deportivo Aleman vs Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
1:1
Aug 27, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz vs Deportivo Aleman
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Aleman 10 / 100
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Aleman Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Deportivo Aleman scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Deportivo Aleman has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Aleman VS Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Aleman

(Home)
03 Nov
Oruro Royal
5 : 1
Deportivo Aleman
06 Oct
Deportivo Aleman
0 : 3
Oruro Royal
22 Sept
Tiquipaya
2 : 1
Deportivo Aleman
15 Sept
Deportivo Aleman
1 : 0
Alianza Beni
08 Sept
Deportivo Aleman
1 : 1
Moto Club
Page 1 of 6

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

(Away)
09 Nov
Universitario de Sucre
3 : 0
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
02 Nov
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
3 : 1
Universitario de Sucre
26 Oct
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Olympic FC
12 Oct
Olympic FC
1 : 2
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
28 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Fancesa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Potosi43017:19
2Nacional Sucre42024:76
3Hiska Nacional41033:63
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Mizque42118:67
2Universitario de Pando42115:77
3Stormers SL41036:63
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1GV San Jose43017:39
2Real Oruro42114:37
3Municipalidad de Yacuiba40132:71
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Torre Fuerte42115:47
2Pasion Celeste42027:86
3Fancesa41128:84
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Antonio Bulo Bulo430120:29
2Atletico Bermejo43019:59
3San Lorenzo del Beni40043:250
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Municipal de Tarija431010:410
2Fatic42026:36
3Sur-Car40135:141
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
124 de Septiembre42118:57
2Universitario Beni42116:67
3Real Mapajo40223:62
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz43109:210
2Deportivo Aleman41219:85
3Academia del Balompie40134:121
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)