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Deportivo Aleman vs Nacional Sucre

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nacional Sucre in this Nacional B 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nacional Sucre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Deportivo Aleman
44%
Draws
20%
Nacional Sucre
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Deportivo Aleman lately — more wins on the board than Nacional Sucre.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Deportivo Aleman Clean Sheet 18%
Nacional Sucre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Aleman Nacional Sucre
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 8 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Deportivo Aleman vs Nacional Sucre
0:1
May 13, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Nacional Sucre vs Deportivo Aleman
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Aleman 36 / 100
Nacional Sucre 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Aleman Nacional Sucre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional Sucre let in goals in 85% of their last 20 matches.

Attacking prowess: Deportivo Aleman scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Nacional Sucre's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Aleman VS Nacional Sucre
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Aleman

(Home)
03 Nov
Oruro Royal
5 : 1
Deportivo Aleman
06 Oct
Deportivo Aleman
0 : 3
Oruro Royal
22 Sept
Tiquipaya
2 : 1
Deportivo Aleman
15 Sept
Deportivo Aleman
1 : 0
Alianza Beni
08 Sept
Deportivo Aleman
1 : 1
Moto Club
Page 1 of 6

Nacional Sucre

(Away)
27 Sept
Nueva Cliza
0 : 0
Nacional Sucre
21 Sept
Torre Fuerte
2 : 1
Nacional Sucre
15 Sept
Nacional Sucre
2 : 4
Real Potosi
06 Sept
Nacional Sucre
3 : 2
Torre Fuerte
31 Aug
Real Potosi
2 : 0
Nacional Sucre
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario Beni642011:314
2San Lorenzo del Beni62316:89
3Alianza Beni61324:46
4Los Almendros60245:112
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fancesa853019:418
2Nacional Sucre834112:913
3Deportivo Aleman841312:1113
4Atletico Sucre832317:1511
5Independiente Recreo80086:270
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Antonio Bulo Bulo852117:517
2Pasion Celeste834112:713
3Real Mizque83418:713
4Enrique Happ824212:710
5Israel University80084:270
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fatic853024:718
2Academia del Balompie833224:912
3Hiska Nacional833212:1012
4Chaco Petrolero833215:1412
5Huayna Potosi Palcoco80087:42-2
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1GV San Jose862023:720
2Sur-Car841317:1513
3Real Oruro833220:912
4Em Huanuni822415:128
5CM Poopo81074:363
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Pando22007:26
2Real Mapajo20022:70
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Potosi650112:215
2Stormers SL632110:211
3Rosario Central62137:67
4Huracan Tupiza60150:191
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz861125:819
2Torre Fuerte850315:715
324 de Septiembre833214:1212
4River 6681259:225
5Universidad Crucena81256:205
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Municipal de Tarija851216:816
2Municipalidad de Yacuiba842214:1414
3Atletico Bermejo841312:713
4Ciclon81434:87
5Garcia Agreda80445:144
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams