Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Bortoli G.
50'
50'
Taberne M.
55'
55'
Garaza F.
AI Match Summary
Deportivo Colonia in this Copa Uruguay 2022 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Deportivo Colonia lately — more wins on the board than Santa Emilia.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Deportivo Colonia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Deportivo Colonia, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Deportivo Colonia Clean Sheet 15%
Santa Emilia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportivo Colonia | Santa Emilia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 1 |
| Wins | 7 | 0 |
| Draws | 7 | 0 |
| Losses | 16 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.13 | 3.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 6, 2022 Copa Uruguay
Deportivo Colonia vs Santa Emilia
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportivo Colonia Compare
Top Goalscorer Bortoli G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Taberne M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Santa Emilia Compare
Top Goalscorer Garaza F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportivo Colonia 35 / 100
Santa Emilia 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportivo Colonia Santa Emilia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santa Emilia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 1 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Deportivo Colonia found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).
Deportivo Colonia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Deportivo Colonia VS Santa Emilia
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportivo Colonia
(Home) 10 Oct
Deportivo Colonia
1 : 2 Juventud
07 Sept
Deportivo Colonia
0 : 2 Cerro Largo
10 Aug
Quilmes
1 : 2 Deportivo Colonia
06 Jul
Deportivo Colonia
3 : 1 Santa Emilia
14 Jun
Liverpool M.
2 : 1 Deportivo Colonia
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Deportivo Colonia
1 : 2 Juventud
07 Sept
Deportivo Colonia
0 : 2 Cerro Largo
06 Jul
Deportivo Colonia
3 : 1 Santa Emilia
20 May
Deportivo Colonia
0 : 0 Tacuarembo
17 May
Deportivo Colonia
0 : 2 Cerrito
Page 1 of 4
Santa Emilia
(Away) 06 Jul
Deportivo Colonia
3 : 1 Santa Emilia
06 Jul
Deportivo Colonia
3 : 1 Santa Emilia
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Lavalleja (Minas)1
Atenas2
Mar De Fondo4
Huracan FC0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cerrito-
Club Atletico Basanez0
Uruguay Montevideo FC4
Palermo de Rocha3
Piriapolis2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Montevideo City-
Rocha2
Paso de la Arena0
Lavalleja de Rocha1
Huracan Buceo2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rentistas-
Progreso-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Danubio-
Canadian Soccer Club0
Racing Montevideo1
Salto FC0
Huracan Paysandu1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Defensor Sp.-
Juventud Colonia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
River Plate Montevideo-
Tacuarembo1
Central Esp.3
Wanderers Juvenil1
Club Atletico Artigas2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Liverpool M.-
Universitario Salto-
Sud America-
Paysandu FC1
Paysandu Bella Vista0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Wanderers-
Durazno3
CA Cerro2
Porongos0
Boquita3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Plaza Colonia-
Quilmes-
Villa Espanola-
Deportivo Colonia3
Santa Emilia1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cerro Largo-
Laureles0
Colon2
Los Halcones1
Sportivo Barracas0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Penarol-
Central San Jose-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Boston River-
Bella Vista0
Rampla Juniors1
Rio Negro3
Wanderers Santa Lucia1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Maldonado-
Miramar-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Club Nacional-
CA Alto Peru0
Juventud4
Parque Del Plata1
Universal San Jose3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Albion-
Potencia0
La Luz7
Atletico Juanico1
Deportivo Italiano2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Fenix-
1/32-finals
Atenas0
Mar De Fondo1
TBD-
Cerrito-
Uruguay Montevideo FC2
Palermo de Rocha1
TBD-
Montevideo City-
Rocha2
Huracan Buceo1
TBD-
Rentistas-
Progreso-
TBD-
TBD-
Danubio-
Racing Montevideo1
Huracan Paysandu0
TBD-
Defensor Sp.-
Juventud Colonia-
TBD-
TBD-
River Plate Montevideo-
Central Esp.2
Club Atletico Artigas1
TBD-
Liverpool M.-
Universitario Salto1
Paysandu FC0
TBD-
Wanderers-
Durazno2
Boquita1
TBD-
Plaza Colonia-
Quilmes1
Deportivo Colonia2
TBD-
Cerro Largo-
Colon3
Los Halcones1
TBD-
Penarol-
Central San Jose-
TBD-
TBD-
Boston River-
Rampla Juniors2
Rio Negro1
TBD-
Maldonado-
Miramar-
TBD-
TBD-
Club Nacional-
Juventud1
Universal San Jose0
TBD-
Albion-
La Luz2
Deportivo Italiano1
TBD-
Fenix-
1/16-finals
Mar De Fondo0
Cerrito1
Uruguay Montevideo FC2
Montevideo City4
Rocha0
Rentistas3
Progreso3
Danubio2
Racing Montevideo0
Defensor Sp.1
Juventud Colonia1
River Plate Montevideo2
Central Esp.1
Liverpool M.2
Universitario Salto1
Wanderers3
Durazno1
Plaza Colonia3
Deportivo Colonia0
Cerro Largo2
Colon0
Penarol2
Central San Jose0
Boston River2
Rampla Juniors2
Maldonado1
Miramar0
Club Nacional1
Juventud0
Albion1
La Luz2
Fenix1
1/8-finals
Cerrito0
Montevideo City1
Rentistas0
Progreso3
Defensor Sp.2
River Plate Montevideo0
Liverpool M.4
Wanderers0
Plaza Colonia1
Cerro Largo0
Penarol1
Boston River0
Rampla Juniors3
Club Nacional0
Albion2
La Luz3
Quarter-finals
Montevideo City1
Progreso2
Defensor Sp.3
Liverpool M.0
Plaza Colonia0
Penarol1
Rampla Juniors2
La Luz3
Semi-finals
Progreso2
Defensor Sp.4
Penarol1
La Luz2
Final
Defensor Sp.1
La Luz0
