Sport Picks
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atl.
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Liga 1 game between Deportivo Garcilaso and Alianza Atl. finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Garcilaso.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Alianza Atl.'s 1.25 goals per match outpaces what Deportivo Garcilaso have produced (1.13).
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Alianza Atl. here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportivo Garcilaso | Alianza Atl. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportivo Garcilaso Compare
Alianza Atl. Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Deportivo Garcilaso scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Alianza Atl. has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Deportivo Garcilaso has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Deportivo Garcilaso
(Home)Alianza Atl.
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario de Deportes | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl. | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | AD Tarma | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | 16 |