Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Arancibia F.
Assist: Da Silva B.
34' Event
Urruti L.
Assist: Dulanto G.
45'
Dulanto G.

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Garcilaso in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Garcilaso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Deportivo Garcilaso
44%
Draws
20%
Sport Boys
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Deportivo Garcilaso lately — more wins on the board than Sport Boys.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Deportivo Garcilaso have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Deportivo Garcilaso Clean Sheet 25%
Sport Boys Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Garcilaso Sport Boys
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys
3:2
Aug 16, 2025 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys
4:0
Jul 26, 2024 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys
2:0
Feb 11, 2024 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Garcilaso Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Silva B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Arancibia F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sport Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Urruti L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nequecaur L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Garcilaso 37 / 100
Sport Boys 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Garcilaso Sport Boys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Deportivo Garcilaso scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Sport Boys's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 27 matches.

Deportivo Garcilaso has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Garcilaso VS Sport Boys
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
50% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016